Thesis Gold Updated PEA for Lawyers-Ranch Project: After-Tax NPV5% of C$1.28 Billion, IRR of 35.2% and 2.0 Year Payback
Thesis Gold Updated PEA for Lawyers-Ranch
Project: After-Tax NPV5% of C$1.28 Billion,
IRR of 35.2% and 2.0 Year Payback
Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - September 5, 2024) - Thesis Gold Inc. (TSXV: TAU)
(FSE: A3EP87) (OTCQX: THSGF) is pleased to announce positive results from the updated
independent Preliminary Economic Assessment ("PEA") for its 100% owned Lawyers-Ranch Project
(the "Project") in the prolific Toodoggone Mining District of northern British Columbia. The updated PEA
outlines a plan for developing the combined Lawyers-Ranch project using both open-pit and
underground mining methods, with mineralized material processed at a single facility, achieving an
estimated average gold recovery of 93%. The PEA was prepared by JDS Energy & Mining Inc. ("JDS")
of Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada in accordance with National Instrument 43-101 - Standards of
Disclosure for Mineral Projects ("NI 43-101"). The updated NI 43-101 PEA Technical Report will be filed
on SEDAR+ at
www.sedarplus.ca
and Thesis Gold's website
www.thesisgold.com
within 45 days of this
announcement.
Highlights
Strong Economics:
Pre-tax internal rate of return ("IRR") of
46.0%
, pre-tax net present value at a
5% discount rate ("NPV5%") of
C$1.99 billion
, after-tax IRR stands at
35.2%,
and an after-tax
NPV5% of
C$1.28 billion
, using US$1,930 per ounce of gold and US$24 per ounce of silver (see
Table 1)
.
Gold Price Sensitivity:
The project remains robust at a wide range of gold prices from US$1,750
to US$2,500 with after-tax IRR of 28.8% to 52.8% (see Table 2).
Increased Production:
The 2024 PEA saw a considerable increase in production versus the
previous (2022) PEA with a 32% increase in annual average production to
215,000
gold-
equivalent ("AuEq"*) ounces, including an average
273,000
gold-equivalent ounces annually over
the first three years, and a 55% increase in Life-of-mine ("LOM") production to
3.0 million
gold-
equivalent ounces, extending mine life to over 14 years.
Low AISC:
LOM all-in sustaining cash cost ("AISC") of
US$1,013
per ounce of gold equivalent.
Quick Payback:
The project offers a quick after-tax payback of 2.0 years, a 29% decrease
compared to the previous (2022) PEA.
Capex:
Initial capital expenditure is estimated at C$598.4 million, with a compelling after-tax
NPV5% to initial capital ratio of 2.1:1.
Project Upside:
Significant Mineral Resource growth potential remains across both Lawyers and
Ranch projects. The underground Mineral Resource at Lawyers is still open for expansion at depth,
while Ranch Mineral Resource zones also remain open. Additionally, there are over 20 unexplored
targets that hold potential for further discoveries.
Dr. Ewan Webster, President and CEO, commented, "Starting in 2023, we set an ambitious goal to
focus our exploration and engineering efforts on optimizing our project establishing a low-cost future
producer with a quick payback period and a projected mine life exceeding 10 years, while in parallel
establishing substantial opportunities for future expansion. We are delivering on that promise, with
215,000 ounces per year over a 14-year mine life, a 117% improvement in NPV, and a 46%
improvement in IRR. This translates to a robust after-tax NPV5% of C$1.28 billion and an after-tax IRR of
35.2%, based on a conservative 3-year trailing average gold price of US$1,930 per ounce. With today's
gold price near US$2,500 per ounce, the substantial economic potential of the Lawyers-Ranch Project is
clear. As we advance toward key project development milestones, we will continue to explore new
targets within our expansive, highly prospective land package. This approach will further enhance a
project that is not only straightforward and low-risk but also benefits from high-grade, easily accessible
open-pit and underground ounces, combined with proximity to existing infrastructure. This positions the
Lawyers-Ranch Project as one of Canada's most prospective gold projects."
Bill Lytle, Non-Executive Chairman, added, "The 2024 PEA confirms the positive potential of the
Lawyers-Ranch Project, utilizing industry-standard open-pit and underground mining methods alongside
an optimized processing flowsheet that ensures exceptional recoveries from both Lawyers and Ranch
streams, all while maintaining a compact project footprint. The inclusion of the Lawyers underground
brings high-grade, easily accessible ounces into the early stages of the mine life, significantly enhancing
the project's economics compared to the 2022 PEA. With 301,316 meters drilled to date, 86.9% of the
updated 2024 Mineral Resource is now classified as Measured and Indicated.
Combined with well-
advanced engineering and environmental baseline work, the project is rapidly moving towards Pre-
Feasibility and an accelerated permitting timeline, while still offering substantial upside potential and
opportunities for Mineral Resource growth."
PEA Overview
The PEA is preliminary in nature and includes Inferred Mineral Resources considered too speculative
geologically to have the economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to be
categorized as Mineral Reserves, and there is no certainty that the results of the PEA will be realized.
Mineral Resources are not Mineral Reserves and do not have demonstrated economic viability.
The 2024 PEA considers a conventional truck and shovel open-pit mining ("OP") operation with
common equipment sizing feeding a 12,600 tonnes per day (t/d) industry standard processing plant with
crushing, grinding, flotation, leaching and a Merrill Crowe recovery circuit, with production of precious
metal concentrate and gold-silver doré bullion on site. The 2024 PEA considers a crossover to
underground mining ("U/G") using longhole stoping and a small zone of drift and fill to feed up to 2,500
t/d from the Duke's Ridge, Cliff Creek and Ranch Deposits from years 2 to 14. The PEA is based on an
update of the Mineral Resource Estimate announced by the Company on the June 1, 2024 press
release.
JDS was appointed as lead consultant in January 2024 to prepare the updated PEA in accordance with
NI 43-101 and was assisted by Knight Piesold Consulting ("KP") for tailings storage facility ("TSF") and
waste rock storage facility ("WRSF") design and costing, Frank Wright Consulting ("Frank Wright") for
metallurgy, P&E Mining Consultants Inc. for Mineral Resource estimation, and One-Eighty Consulting for
permitting.
PEA Highlights
Positive after-tax NPV (5%) of C$1.28 billion, 35.2% IRR and 2.0 Year Payback Period.
Open pit and underground mining at the Lawyers and Ranch properties, with the inclusion of
underground mining leading to an increase grade and tonnage compared to previous PEA.
Inclusion of underground mining leading to an overall reduction in LOM strip ratio for the Project.
Optimized flowsheet utilizing both flotation and leaching to maximize overall recovery. The addition
of a flotation circuit allows for an increased gold recovery to 93% and silver recovery to 86.1%
across a combined Lawyers and Ranch process plant feed.
Increase Life of Mine of 14 years with 215, 000 oz AuEq* average annual production.
Life of Mine (LOM) production of 64.7 Mt of Process Plant Feed at an average grade of 1.61 g/t
AuEq*.
Optimized infrastructure to increase operational efficiency.
These results reinforce the economic potential of the project, highlighting efficient and effective
processing strategies to maximize metal recovery.
PEA Parameters and Assumptions
The financial modeling for this PEA was done by JDS Energy & Mining Inc. and included the following
parameters and assumptions:
Table 1: Summary of PEA Parameters and Economics Results
General
Unit
LOM Total / Avg.
Au Price
US$/oz
1,930
Ag Price
US$/oz
24
Mine Life
yrs
14
Total Processed Feed Tonnes
kt
64,700
Waste Mined
kt
294,000
OP Stripping Ratio
W:O
5
Production
Unit
LOM Total / Avg.
Head Grade - Au
g/t
1.23
Head Grade U/G - Au
g/t
2.40
Head Grade OP - Au
g/t
1.10
Head Grade - Ag
g/t
33.1
Head Grade U/G - Ag
g/t
68.4
Head Grade OP
- Ag
g/t
27.5
Head Grade - AuEq*
g/t
1.61
Head Grade U/G - AuEq*
g/t
3.17
Head Grade OP - AuEq*
g/t
1.44
Recovery Rate - Au
%
93
Recovery Rate - Ag
%
86.1
Total Payable Au
koz
2,323
Total Payable Ag
koz
56,405
Total Payable AuEq*
koz
3,025
Average Annual Production - Au
koz/yr
165
Average Annual Production - Ag
koz/yr
4,011
Average Annual Production - AuEq*
koz
215
Operating Costs
Unit
LOM Total / Avg.
OP Mining
CA$/t Mined
4.08
UG Mining
CA$/t Mined
72.47
Processing
CA$/t Processed
15.85
G&A
CA$/t Processed
5.23
Total
CA$/t Processed
50.57
AISC
US$/AuEq* oz
1,013
Capital Cost
Unit
LOM Total / Avg.
Initial Capital
M CA$
598.4
Sustaining Capital
M CA$
547.2
including U/G Sustaining Capital of:
M CA$
251.3
Closure Capital
M CA$
47.8
Total Capital
M CA$
1,193.3
Pre-Tax Financials
Unit
LOM Total / Avg.
NPV (5%)
M CA$
1,991
IRR
%
46.0
Payback Period
Yrs
1.6
After-Tax Financials
Unit
LOM Total / Avg.
NPV (5%)
M CA$
1,277
IRR
%
35.2
Payback Period
Yrs
2.0
After-Tax NPV:Initial Capital
2.1:1
Sensitivity Analysis
A sensitivity analysis was done on the financial model to verify the robustness of the outcomes and the
impacts on the Project's After-Tax NPV and IRR are tabulated below:
Table 2: Metal Price Sensitivity Analysis
Base Case
Gold Price ($US)
1,750
1,930
2,500
3,000
Silver Price ($US)
22.00
24.00
30.00
35.00
Pre-Tax
NPV5% (CA $M)
1,503
1,991
3,520
4,847
IRR
37.5%
46.0%
69.6%
87.5%
After Tax
NPV5% (CA $M)
968
1,277
2,247
3,089
IRR
28.8%
35.2%
52.8%
66.3%
NPV5%: Initial Capex
1.6
2.1
3.8
5.2
Payback Years
2.4
2.0
1.3
0.9
Project Enhancements in the updated PEA
Since the publication of the previous (2022) PEA, a comprehensive review was undertaken to identify
and incorporate optimizations that would improve overall project economics and focus exploration
activities on adding the most value to the project. The primary enhancement identified was the
integration of underground mining methods at Lawyers. In the updated PEA, underground mining will
extract 6.5 Mt at an average grade of 3.17 g/t AuEq*, representing approximately 10% of the process
plant feed and 20% of the contained ounces. Compared to the previous (2022) PEA, this change
brought forward higher grade ounces in the mine schedule, increased LOM production, extended mine
life, and reduced the strip ratio of open-pit mining. Additionally, metallurgical test work focused on
optimizing recovery, particularly silver, leading to the inclusion of a flotation circuit in the process
flowsheet. Collectively, these changes, along with the updated Mineral Resource Estimate from June 1,
2024, result in improved annual production, particularly during the early mine years, and a notable
increase in LOM production and extension of mine life (see Table 3).
The results of the updated PEA were compared to the existing (2022) PEA and are detailed in the table
below:
Table 3: Comparison of 2024 PEA to 2022 PEA Economic Results
General
Unit
2024 PEA
2022 PEA
Change
After-Tax NPV (5%)
CA$ M
1,277
589
+117%
After-Tax IRR
%
35.2
24.1
+46%
Payback Period
yrs
2.0
2.8
-29%
Payable AuEq*
koz AuEq*
3,025
1954
+55%
Life of Mine
yrs
14
12
+18%
After-Tax NPV:Initial Capital
2.1:1
1.2:1
+73%
AISC
US$/AuEq* oz
1,013
941
+8%
OP Stripping Ratio
W:O
5.0
5.9
-24%
Mineral Resource Estimate
The PEA is based on the Mineral Resource Estimate prepared by P&E Mining Consultants Inc., and
APEX Geoscience Ltd., and reported by Thesis Gold on June 1, 2024, which is summarized in the table
below:
Table 4: Summary of June 1, 2024 Mineral Resource Estimate
Total Pit-Constrained and Out of Pit-Stope-Constrained Mineral Resource Estimate @ 0.4 g/t and 1.5 g/t AuEq* Cut-Off
Mineral
Resource
Area
Cut-off
AuEq*
(g/t)
Classification
Tonnes
(k)
Au
(g/t)
Ag
(g/t)
Cu
(%)
AuEq*
(g/t)
Au
(koz)
Ag
(Moz)
Cu
(kt)
AuEq*
(koz)
All
Combined
Measured
35,987
1.10
38.5
1.58
1,268
44.5
0
1,825
Indicated
46,023
1.11
26.7
0.01
1.46
1,648
39.5
3
2,153
M&I
82,010
1.11
31.9
1.51
2,917
84.0
3
3,978
Inferred
12,401
1.48
20.9
0.06
1.82
590
8.3
8
727
Mineral Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability. The
estimates of Pit-constrained and out-of-pit Measured, Indicated and Inferred Mineral Resources
assumed metal prices of US$1,850/oz Au, US$24/oz, 0.76 US$:CDN$ FX, with process recoveries of
91% Au and 88% Ag. A C$15/t process cost and C$5/t G&A cost were used. The Au:Ag ratio was 80:1.
The constraining pit optimization parameters were C$3.5/t mineralized and waste material mining cost
and 52° pit slopes with a 0.40 g/t AuEq* cut-off. The underground parameters were C$80/t mined with
assumed 1.5x15x15 m stopes and a 1.50 g/t AuEq cut-off.
Capital and Operating Costs
The 2024 PEA estimates the initial capital requirements at $598.4 million, versus C$484.1 million in the
previous (2022) PEA, representing a 24% increase, the majority from cost inflation and a 18% increase
in the process plant throughput rate, from 10,700 t/d to 12,600 t/d, with cumulative sustaining and closure
capital amounting to $594.2 million. LOM operating costs for the Lawyers-Ranch Project are estimated
to average C$50.57 or US$37.42 per tonne processed.
The PEA is based on owner-operated open pit and underground mining, which has an estimated LOM
cost of C$14.75 per tonne processed. Open pit mining is projected to cost $22.21 per tonne processed,
totaling $1.4 billion, while underground mining is estimated at $7.28 per tonne. Processing costs are
estimated at C$15.85 per tonne milled. G&A costs are estimated at C$5.23 per tonne processed, which
includes TSF handlings of C$0.22 per tonne processed. The capital and operating cost estimate was
developed in Q3 2024 Canadian Dollars (C$).
The capital cost summary is presented in Table 5 and the operating cost summary is presented in Table
6.
Table 5: Summary of Capital Costs
Capital Costs
Pre-Production
(M$)
Sustaining /
Closure
(M$)
Total
(M$)
Open Pit Mining
61.8
113.0
174.8
Underground Mining
251.3
251.3
On-site Development
18.5
10.4
28.9
Mineral Processing
204.6
204.6
Tailings and Waste Management
53.5
55.7
109.2
On-site Infrastructure
45.8
21.6
67.5
Off-site Infrastructure
0.3
62.2
62.5
Project Indirects
67.1
5.0
72.1
Engineering & Project Management
41.9
6.4
48.3
Owner's Costs
16.9
16.9
Closure
0
47.8
47.8
Subtotal
510.5
573.5
1,084.0
Contingency
87.9
21.5
109.4
Total Capital Costs
598.4
594.9
1,193.3.6
*Numbers may not sum due to rounding
Table 6: Summary of Operating Costs
Operating Costs
$/t Processed
Average Annual M$
LOM M$
Open Pit Mining
22.21
102.6
1,436.5
Underground Mining
7.28
33.6
471
Processing
15.85
73.2
1,024.7
G&A
5.23
24.2
338.3
Total
50.57
232.8
3,270.5
Mining
The PEA assumes conventional open pit truck and shovel mining as well as underground mining using
longhole stoping and drift and fill production designed to achieve a processing rate of 12,600 t/d. Open
pit mining was used for the majority of the Mineral Resources due to its relative low cost and high
productivity, as well as the proximity to surface of the mineralized material. Underground mining methods
were utilized to target deeper higher-grade areas.
The open pits were selected from a series of optimized pit shells for each deposit. Each of the selected
shells was then divided into pushbacks to help optimize the production schedule. The mining sequence
aims to maximize economic returns and achieve the target process plant feed rate of 4.6 Mt/a (12,600
t/d) by targeting the pushbacks in descending order of net unit value. Open pit mining activities will move
an average of 64 kt/d with a peak of 84 kt/d over the 14-year mine life.
Each of the underground mines was mined in a bottom up sequence, utilizing permanent sill pillars to
allow for multiple production horizons. Underground mining will extract 6.5 Mt at an average grade of
3.17 g/t AuEq*
Over the life of mine (LOM) the Project is expected to produce 64.7 Mt of process plant feed at an
average grade of 1.61 g/t AuEq* with a total contained metal of 2,559 koz of gold and 68,798 koz of
silver based on a pit cut-off grade of 0.43 g/t AuEq* for AGB, 0.39 g/t AuEq* for Cliff Creek, 0.52 g/t
AuEq* for Ranch and an underground cut-off grade of 1.50 g/t AuEq*.
Stripping ratios average 3.1:1 at AGB, 5.0:1 at Cliff Creek and 8.7:1 at Ranch. The peak combined mine
production is approximately 84 kt/d.
Figure 1: Mine Production Schedule
To view an enhanced version of this graphic, please visit:
https://images.newsfilecorp.com/files/6169/222217_thesisgold001.jpg
AuEq* = Au + Ag/87
Open Pit Mining
The PEA mine design consists of four pits at the Lawyers Property and several small pits at the Ranch
Property, with a mining sequence intended to maximize grade in the early years, smooth stripping
requirements and maintain the processing facility at full production capacity. Approximately 58 Mt of
open pit potentially mineable Mineral Resources have been defined with a grade of 1.44 g/t AuEq*
containing 2,057 koz of gold and 54,730 koz of silver and an Open Pit strip ratio of 5:1. Mining activities
will average 64 kt/d with a peak of 84 kt/d over a 14-year life of mine.
The open pit mining activities for the Project will be undertaken by an owner-operated truck/shovel fleet
with conventional drill, blast, load and haul operations. Bulk excavation will be performed using hydraulic
excavators with back-up units of either hydraulic excavators or a front-end loader. Given the overall scale
of operations and equipment requirements, a diesel-powered fleet has been selected.
Figure 2: Lawyers & Ranch Open Pits and WRSFs
To view an enhanced version of this graphic, please visit:
https://images.newsfilecorp.com/files/6169/222217_thesisgold002.jpg
Underground Mining
Underground mining will take place at Dukes Ridge, Cliff Creek, and Ranch Deposits. The underground
will utilize a longhole stoping and a small zone of drift and fill to meet an average production rate of 2,500
t/d. Stopes will be extracted in a retreat sequence and backfilled with cemented rock fill (CRF) and/or
unconsolidated waste rock. All the underground development waste hauled to surface will be used as
backfill.
The mine will be developed using conventional underground equipment consisting of development
jumbos, longhole drills, bolters, LHDs, and haul trucks. Mineralized material will be hauled to the surface
to stockpile facility near the portal where open pit equipment will transport stockpiled material to the
crusher.
Figure 3: Longitudinal Projection Looking West Lawyers Underground
To view an enhanced version of this graphic, please visit:
https://images.newsfilecorp.com/files/6169/222217_62ae9862940ceb83_004full.jpg
Figure 4: Longitudinal Projection Looking East Ranch Underground
To view an enhanced version of this graphic, please visit:
https://images.newsfilecorp.com/files/6169/222217_62ae9862940ceb83_005full.jpg
Approximately 6.5 Mt of underground potentially mineable Mineral Resources have been defined with a
grade of 3.17 g/t AuEq * containing 502 koz of gold and 14,068 koz of silver. Underground mine
production will occur during 9 years of the 14-year mine life. Lawyers underground will contribute 5.65 Mt
at an average grade of 3.32 g/t AuEq*, and Ranch underground 0.85 Mt at an average grade of 2.19 g/t
AuEq*.
Processing
The preliminary metallurgical testing for a bulk tonnage open pit mining scenario at Lawyers was
initiated in Spring 2020 and concluded in mid-2021. The 2020/2021 metallurgical laboratory testing
included investigations into both flotation, and cyanide leaching. Leaching was evaluated on whole rock
and on float concentrate under various operating conditions. Based on the tests results and economic
considerations the 2022 PEA flowsheet design was directed to whole rock cyanide leaching. The
laboratory data suggests an appropriate tank leach retention time of 32 hours. Washing of the pregnant
leachate solution (PLS) would be by counter current decantation (CCD) with the PLS going to zinc
precipitation in order to subsequently produce doré on site.
Metallurgical testing of a combined Ranch and Lawyers mining scenario was initiated in September
2023 and concluded with a laboratory report issued by SGS Canada Inc. in June 2024. Based on this
testwork and supported by earlier historical studies, a conceptual treatment flowsheet with
accompanying mass balance and projected gold and silver recoveries was formulated. The study
suggests that the various mineral zones of the two adjacent properties can be well served with a process
flowsheet that consists of grinding the process plant feed to 80% passing a particle size of 125 micron
(P
80
of 125 µm) when the flotation circuit is used, and a P
80
of 106 µm when the circuit is run as leach
only. The comminution circuit will include a centrifugal gravity concentrator in the circulating load to scalp
out coarse free gold to an intensive cyanidation unit. The comminution circuit will discharge to the
flotation circuit, or in times where the feed is highly leachable, will bypass the flotation circuit directly to
the leaching circuit.
Flotation becomes particularly crucial for Ranch Mineral Resource material that exceeds approximately
1% total sulphur. The primary (rougher) flotation is where typically the majority of the precious metals
would report into a saleable concentrate. This method uses a selective collector, with the rougher bulk
product reground and cleaned in three stages, while increasing the slurry pH with lime to depress pyrite.
The rougher tail is then sent to a scavenger float circuit to produce a low grade concentrate suitable for
aggressive leaching procedures, with the primary purpose of improving overall silver recovery. The
resulting leach residue is attrition ground and then added to the final float tailing for a second stage
leach. The pregnant leachate solution (PLS), including from the gravity product is forwarded to Merrill