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Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corporation - Results for the Third Quarter Ended

Financials

Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corporation -

Results for the Third Quarter Ended

September 30, 2019

TORONTO

,

Nov. 13, 2019

/CNW/ - Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corporation ("LIORC", TSX: LIF)

announced today its operation and cash flow results for the third quarter ended

September 30,

2019

.

Royalty revenue for the third quarter of 2019 amounted to

$45.5 million

, as compared to

$44.0

million

for the third quarter of 2018. Equity earnings from IOC amounted to

$32.0 million

or

$0.50

per share in the third quarter of 2019 as compared to

$30.6 million

or

$0.48

per share in the third

quarter of 2018. Net income was

$57.5 million

or

$0.90

per share for the third quarter of 2019

compared to

$58.1 million

or

$0.91

per share for the same period in 2018. Cash flow from

operations for the third quarter was

$72.6 million

or

$1.13

per share as compared to

$59.7 million

or

$0.93

per share for the same period in 2018. LIORC received a dividend from Iron Ore Company of

Canada

("IOC") in the third quarter of 2019 in the amount of

$40.1 million

or

$0.63

per share, as

compared to

$58.6 million

or

$0.92

per share in the third quarter of 2018.

The royalty revenue, cash flow from operations and equity earnings for the third quarter of 2019

were marginally higher than the third quarter of 2018, as a result of lower sales tonnages offset by

higher realized prices.

The average price for the Platts index for 62%

Fe Iron Ore

, CFR China ("62% Fe index") increased

53% to

US$102

per tonne in the third quarter of 2019 compared to the average price in the third

quarter of 2018 of

US$67

per tonne. IOC's total sales tonnage for calculating the royalty payable to

LIORC on concentrate for sale ("CFS") plus pellets of 4.5 million tonnes was 17% lower in the third

quarter of 2019 compared to the same period in 2018, largely as a result of pellet tonnages being

27% lower due to lower pellet production amounts, changes in customer demand and timing of

shipments. The CFS sales tonnages in the third quarter of 2019 were 7% lower than in the third

quarter of 2018 mainly due to timing.

LIORC's results for the three months and nine months ended

September 30

are summarized below:

(in millions except per share information)

3 Months

Ended

Sept. 30,

2019

3 Months

Ended

Sept. 30,

2018

9 Months

Ended

Sept. 30,

2019

9 Months

Ended

Sept. 30,

2018

(Unaudited)

Revenue

$46.2

$44.6

$138.7

$84.1

Cash flow from operations

$72.6

$59.7

$145.4

$95.5

Operating cash flow per share

$1.13

$0.93

$2.27

$1.49

Net income

$57.5

$58.1

$157.9

$85.1

Net income per share

$0.90

$0.91

$2.47

$1.33

Iron Ore Company of Canada Operations

Production

Total concentrate production in the third quarter of 2019 was 5.4 million tonnes, as a result of better

weight yield in September offsetting lower throughput in July and August. This was 7% higher than

the third quarter of 2018, and 19% higher than the second quarter of 2019, which was negatively

impacted by a delay in the restart after the planned annual outage in June as a result of a flooding

issue. Pellet production as a percentage of total production was lower for the quarter as pellet

production was negatively impacted by lower induration machine availability. As a result, pellet

production in the third quarter of 2019 of 2.7 million tonnes was 11% lower than the third quarter of

2018 but 17% higher than the previous quarter. CFS production in the third quarter of 2019 of 2.4

million tonnes was 24% higher than in the third quarter of 2018 and 17% higher than the previous

quarter.

Total concentrate production for the nine months of 2019 was 14.3 million tonnes. This was 34%

higher than the same period in the prior year, largely as a result of the work stoppage experienced

during the second quarter of 2018.

Sales as Reported for the LIORC Royalty

Total iron ore tonnage sold by IOC (CFS plus pellets) of 4.5 million tonnes was 17% lower in the

third quarter of 2019 compared to the same period in 2018 largely as a result of pellet sales

tonnages being 27% lower than in the same period in 2018. The CFS sales tonnages in the third

quarter of 2019 were 7% lower than in the third quarter of 2018. As stated above, pellet sales

tonnages were lower as a result of lower pellet production and changes in customer demand. In

addition, sales of pellets and CFS were also lower due to timing and breakdowns on Reclaimer 1

and Shiploader 3 at the terminal in September.

Total iron ore tonnage sold by IOC (CFS plus pellets) for the nine months of 2019 was 12.6 million

tonnes. This was 28% higher than the same period in the prior year, largely as a result of the work

stoppage experienced during the second quarter of 2018.

IOC sells CFS based on the Platts index for 65%

Fe Iron Ore

, CFR China ("65% Fe index"). The

average price for the 65% Fe index was

US$110

per tonne in the third quarter of 2019, a 17%

increase over the average price in the third quarter of 2018 of

US$94

per tonne, and 5% lower than

the average price in the second quarter of 2019 of

US$115

per tonne. While the average seaborne

iron ore prices remained attractive from a historical perspective, significant declines in pricing

occurred during the quarter, as increased supply came to market and steel producers struggling with

low margins cut back on demand. Steel producers continued to substitute higher quality iron ore with

cheaper lower quality iron ore. As a result, the premium for the 65% Fe index compared to the 62%

Fe index, which had been expanding over the last few years decreased in the third quarter of 2019

to 7%, as compared to 41% in the third quarter of 2018 and 15% in the second quarter of 2019.

Pellet premiums also decreased as high underlying benchmark prices caused buyers to reduce

demand. The quarterly Atlantic Basin blast furnace pellet premium, as reported by Platts, averaged

US$56

per tonne in the third quarter of 2019, a 3% decrease over the third quarter of 2018 and 17%

lower than the second quarter of 2019.

A summary of IOC's sales for calculating the royalty to LIORC in millions of tonnes is as follows:

3 Months

Ended

Sept. 30,

2019

3 Months

Ended

Sept. 30,

2018

9 Months

Ended

Sept. 30,

2019

9 Months

Ended

Sept. 30,

2018

Year

Ended

Dec. 31,

2018

Pellets

2.04

2.79

7.17

5.81

8.41

Concentrates

(1)

2.46

2.64

5.43

4.04

6.70

Total

(2)

4.51

5.43

12.60

9.86

15.10

(1)

Excludes third party ore sales

(2)

Totals may not add up due to rounding

Outlook

IOC's total saleable production (CFS and pellets) for the first nine months was 13.6 million tonnes. In

its third quarter operations review, Rio Tinto maintained the 2019 full year guidance for IOC's

saleable production (CFS and pellets) on a 100% basis at between 18.2 and 19.3 million tonnes.

Lower third quarter sales due to timing and breakdowns on Reclaimer 1 and Shiploader 3, resulted

in an increase of inventories at the Terminal. IOC expects to reduce those inventories to more typical

levels in the fourth quarter.

Despite significant price declines from peak pricing in July, benchmark prices for concentrate remain

attractive relative to historical levels. The average price in October for the 62% Fe index was

US$90

per tonne as compared to the average in September of

US$93

per tonne and the average for

the third quarter of

US$102

per tonne. On

November 12, 2019

the price for the 62% Fe index was

US$81

. Premiums for higher grade concentrate and pellets remain under pressure as steel

producers reduce demand and continue to substitute lower grade product for higher quality

product.

On

October 25

Vale announced that Samarco is expected to restart its operations by the end of

2020, following the construction of a filtration system. Samarco expects to be able to produce

approximately 7 to 8 million tonnes per annum of pellets. According to Vale, a second concentrator

could be restarted in approximately 6 years to reach a range of production of approximately 14 to

16 million tonnes per annum, and the restart of the third concentrator could happen in about 10

years, when Samarco expects to reach annual production volume in a range of approximately 22 to

24 million tonnes. While the restart will bring added supply to the market, the announced restart

schedule outlines a slower ramp-up of production than many industry commentators had anticipated.

The LIORC net working capital (current assets less current liabilities) as at

September 30, 2019

was

$29.2 million

. During the third quarter net working capital increased by

$1.6 million

as a result

of adjusted cash flow of

$65.6

less declared dividends of

$64.0 million

.

Respectfully submitted on behalf of the Directors of Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corporation,

John F. Tuer

President and Chief Executive Officer

November 13, 2019

Management's Discussion and Analysis

The following discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with the Management's

Discussion and Analysis section of the Corporation's 2018 Annual Report, and the financial

statements and notes contained therein and the

September 30, 2019

interim condensed

consolidated financial statements. The Corporation's revenues are entirely dependent on the

operations of IOC as its principal assets relate to the operations of IOC and its principal source of

revenue is the 7% royalty it receives on all sales of iron ore products by IOC. In addition to the

volume of iron ore sold, the Corporation's royalty revenue is affected by the price of iron ore and the

Canadian – U.S. dollar exchange rate.

The first quarter sales of IOC are traditionally adversely affected by the closing of the St. Lawrence

Seaway and general winter operating conditions and are usually 15% – 20% of the annual volume,

with the balance spread fairly evenly throughout the other three quarters. Because of the size of

individual shipments, some quarters may be affected by the timing of the loading of ships that can be

delayed from one quarter to the next.

The royalty revenue, cash flow from operations and equity earnings for the third quarter of 2019

were marginally higher than the third quarter of 2018, as a result of lower sales tonnages offset by

higher realized prices.

Royalty revenue for the third quarter of 2019 amounted to

$45.5 million

, as compared to

$44.0

million

for the third quarter of 2018. Equity earnings from IOC amounted to

$32.0 million

or

$0.50

per share in the third quarter of 2019 as compared to

$30.6 million

or

$0.48

per share in the third

quarter of 2018. Net income was

$57.5 million

or

$0.90

per share for the third quarter of 2019

compared to

$58.1 million

or

$0.91

per share for the same period in 2018. Cash flow from

operations for the third quarter was

$72.6 million

or

$1.13

per share as compared to

$59.7 million

or

$0.93

per share for the same period in 2018. LIORC received a dividend from IOC in the third

quarter of 2019 in the amount of

$40.1 million

or

$0.63

per share, as compared to

$58.6 million

or

$0.92

per share in the third quarter of 2018.

The average price for 62% Fe index increased 53% to

US$102

per tonne in the third quarter of 2019

compared to the average price in the third quarter of 2018 of

US$67

per tonne. IOC's total sales

tonnage for calculating the royalty payable to LIORC on - CFS plus pellets of 4.5 million tonnes was

17% lower in the third quarter of 2019 compared to the same period in 2018, largely as a result of

pellet tonnages being 27% lower than in the same period in 2018 due to lower pellet production

amounts, changes in customer demand and timing of shipments. The CFS sales tonnages in the third

quarter of 2019 were 7% lower than in the third quarter of 2018 mainly due to timing.

Total concentrate production in the third quarter of 2019 was 5.4 million tonnes, as a result of better

weight yield in September offsetting lower throughput in July and August. This was 7% higher than

the third quarter of 2018, and 19% higher than the second quarter of 2019, which was negatively

impacted by a delay in the restart after the planned annual outage in June as a result of a flooding

issue. Pellet production as a percentage of total production was lower for the quarter as pellet

production was negatively impacted by lower induration machine availability. As a result, pellet

production in the third quarter of 2019 of 2.7 million tonnes was 11% lower than the third quarter of

2018 but 17% higher than the previous quarter. CFS production in the third quarter of 2019 of 2.4

million tonnes was 24% higher than in the third quarter of 2018 and 17% higher than the previous

quarter.

Total concentrate production for the nine months of 2019 was 14.3 million tonnes. This was 34%

higher than the same period in the prior year, largely as a result of the work stoppage experienced

during the second quarter of 2018.

Total iron ore tonnage sold by IOC (CFS plus pellets) of 4.5 million tonnes was 17% lower in the

third quarter of 2019 compared to the same period in 2018 largely as a result of pellet sales

tonnages being 27% lower than in the same period in 2018. The CFS sales tonnages in the third

quarter of 2019 were 7% lower than in the third quarter of 2018. As stated above, pellet sales

tonnages were lower as a result of lower pellet production and changes in customer demand. In

addition, sales of pellets and CFS were also lower due to timing and breakdowns on Reclaimer 1

and Shiploader 3 at the terminal in September.

Total iron ore tonnage sold by IOC (CFS plus pellets) for the nine months of 2019 was 12.6 million

tonnes. This was 28% higher than the same period in the prior year, largely as a result of the work

stoppage experienced during the second quarter of 2018.

IOC sells CFS based on the 65% Fe index. The average price for the 65% Fe index was

US$110

per tonne in the third quarter of 2019, a 17% increase over the average price in the third quarter of

2018 of

US$94

per tonne, and 5% lower than the average price in the second quarter of 2019 of

US$115

per tonne. While the average seaborne iron ore prices remained attractive from a historical

perspective, significant declines in pricing occurred during the quarter, as increased supply came to

market and steel producers struggling with low margins cut back on demand. Steel producers

continued to substitute higher quality iron ore with cheaper lower quality iron ore. As a result, the

premium for the 65% Fe index compared to the 62% Fe index, which had been expanding over the

last few years decreased in the third quarter of 2019 to 7%, as compared to 41% in the third

quarter of 2018 and 15% in the second quarter of 2019. Pellet premiums also decreased as high

underlying benchmark prices caused buyers to reduce demand. The quarterly Atlantic Basin blast

furnace pellet premium, as reported by Platts, averaged

US$56

per tonne in the third quarter of

2019, a 3% decrease over the third quarter of 2018 and 17% lower than the second quarter of

2019.

Results for the nine months were affected by the same factors as affected the three month period.

Royalty and commission interests amortization expense increased by

$1.1 million

for the nine months

compared to the same period in 2018 due to the increase in production. The 2018 production was

negatively impacted by a nine-week work stoppage.

The following table sets out quarterly revenue, net income, cash flow and dividend data for 2019,

2018 and 2017.

Revenue

Net

Income

Net Income

per Share

Cash

Flow

Cash Flow

from

Operations

per Share

Adjusted

Cash Flow

per Share

(1)

Dividends

Declared per

Share

(in millions except per share information)

2019

First Quarter

$39.2

$39.3

$0.61

$25.0

$0.39

$0.34

$1.05

Second Quarter

$53.3

$61.1

$0.95

$47.8

(2)

$0.75

(2)

$0.86

(2)

$0.90

Third Quarter

$46.2

$57.5

$0.90

$72.6

(3)

$1.13

(3)

$1.02

(3)

$1.00

2018

First Quarter

$34.3

$30.3

$0.47

$20.3

$0.32

$0.29

$0.35

Second Quarter

$5.2

$(3.2)

$(0.05)

$15.5

$0.24

$0.04

$0.25

Third Quarter

$44.6

$58.1

$0.91

$59.7

(4)

$0.93

(4)

$1.30

(4)

$0.55

Fourth Quarter

$46.8

$43.4

$0.68

$53.3

(5)

$0.83

(5)

$0.79

(5)

$0.60

2017

First Quarter

$43.4

$42.9

$0.67

$28.2

(6)

$0.44

(6)

$0.53

(6)

$0.50

Second Quarter

$34.2

$32.3

$0.50

$45.6

(7)

$0.71

(7)

$0.53

(7)

$0.60

Third Quarter

$40.4

$43.8

$0.69

$53.6

(8)

$0.84

(8)

$0.85

(8)

$1.00

Fourth Quarter

$40.6

$38.3

$0.60

$39.6

(9)

$0.62

(9)

$0.65

(9)

$0.55

(1)

"Adjusted cash flow" (see below)

(2)

Includes $25.4 million IOC dividend.

(3)

Includes $40.1 million IOC dividend.

(4)

Includes $58.6 million IOC dividend.

(5)

Includes $25.3 million IOC dividend.

(6)

Includes $10.0 million IOC dividend.

(7)

Includes $15.2 million IOC dividend.

(8)

Includes $32.2 million IOC dividend.

(9)

Includes $19.3 million IOC dividend.

Standardized Cash Flow and Adjusted Cash Flow

For the Corporation, standardized cash flow is the same as cash flow from operating activities as

recorded in the Corporation's cash flow statements as the Corporation does not incur capital

expenditures or have any restrictions on dividends. Standardized cash flow per share was

$1.13

for

the quarter (2018 -

$0.93

). Cumulative standardized cash flow from inception of the Corporation is

$29.74

per share and total cash distributions since inception is

$29.29

per share, for a payout ratio

of 99%.

The Corporation also reports "Adjusted cash flow" which is defined as cash flow from operating

activities after adjustments for changes in amounts receivable, accounts payable and income taxes

recoverable and payable. It is not a recognized measure under International Financial Reporting

Standards ("IFRS"). The Directors believe that adjusted cash flow is a useful analytical measure as

it better reflects cash available for dividends to shareholders.

The following reconciles standardized cash flow from operating activities to adjusted cash flow (in

'000's).

3 Months

Ended

Sept. 30,

2019

3 Months

Ended

Sept. 30,

2018

9 Months

Ended

Sept. 30,

2019

9 Months

Ended

Sept. 30,

2018

Standardized cash flow from operating activities

$72,646

$59,756

$145,446

$95,529

Changes in amounts receivable, accounts payable and income taxes payable

(7,049)

23,325

(3,557)

8,524

Adjusted cash flow

$65,597

$83,081

$141,889

$104,053

Adjusted cash flow per share

$1.02

$1.30

$2.22

$1.63

Liquidity and Capital Resources

The Corporation had

$62.7 million

in cash as at

September 30, 2019

(

December 31, 2018

-

$80.5

million

) with total current assets of

$112.9 million

(

December 31, 2018

-

$127.0 million

). The

Corporation had working capital of

$29.1 million

as at

September 30, 2019

(

December 31, 2018

-

$76.3 million

). The Corporation's operating cash flow for the quarter was

$72.6 million

and the

dividend paid during the quarter was

$57.6 million

, resulting in cash balances increasing by

$15.0

million

during the third quarter of 2019.

Cash balances consist of deposits in Canadian dollars with Canadian chartered banks. Amounts

receivable primarily consist of royalty payments from IOC. Royalty payments are received in U.S.

dollars and converted to Canadian dollars on receipt, usually 25 days after the quarter end. The

Corporation does not normally attempt to hedge this short-term foreign currency exposure.

Operating cash flow of the Corporation is sourced entirely from IOC through the Corporation's 7%

royalty,

10 cents

commission per tonne and dividends from its 15.10% equity interest in IOC. The

Corporation normally pays cash dividends from its net income to the maximum extent possible,

subject to the maintenance of appropriate levels of working capital.

The Corporation has a

$30 million

revolving credit facility with a term ending

September 18, 2022

with provision for annual one-year extensions. No amount is currently drawn under this facility (2018

– nil) leaving

$30.0 million

available to provide for any capital required by IOC or requirements of the

Corporation.

Outlook

IOC's total saleable production (CFS and pellets) for the first nine months was 13.6 million tonnes. In

its third quarter operations review, Rio Tinto maintained the 2019 full year guidance for IOC's

saleable production (CFS and pellets) on a 100% basis at between 18.2 and 19.3 million tonnes.

Lower third quarter sales due to timing and breakdowns on Reclaimer 1 and Shiploader 3, resulted

in an increase of inventories at the Terminal. IOC expects to reduce those inventories to more typical

levels in the fourth quarter.

Despite significant price declines from peak pricing in July, benchmark prices for concentrate remain

attractive relative to historical levels. The average price in October for the 62% Fe index was

US$90

per tonne as compared to the average in September of

US$93

per tonne and the average for

the third quarter of

US$102

per tonne. On

November 12, 2019

the price for the 62% Fe index was

US$81

. Premiums for higher grade concentrate and pellets remain under pressure as steel

producers reduce demand and continue to substitute lower grade product for higher quality

product.

On

October 25

Vale announced that Samarco is expected to restart its operations by the end of

2020, following the construction of a filtration system. Samarco expects to be able to produce

approximately 7 to 8 million tonnes per annum of pellets. According to Vale, a second concentrator

could be restarted in approximately 6 years to reach a range of production of approximately 14 to

16 million tonnes per annum, and the restart of the third concentrator could happen in about 10

years, when Samarco expects to reach annual production volume in a range of approximately 22 to

24 million tonnes. While the restart will bring added supply to the market, the announced restart

schedule outlines a slower ramp-up of production than many industry commentators had anticipated.

The LIORC net working capital (current assets less current liabilities) as at

September 30, 2019

was

$29.2 million

. During the third quarter net working capital increased by

$1.6 million

as a result

of adjusted cash flow of

$65.6

less declared dividends of

$64.0 million

.

Respectfully submitted on behalf of the Directors of Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corporation,

John F. Tuer

President and Chief Executive Officer

November 13, 2019

Forward-Looking Statements

This report may contain "forward-looking" statements that involve risks, uncertainties and other

factors that may cause the actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different

from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking

statements. Words such as "may", "will", "expect", "believe", "plan", "intend", "should", "would",

"anticipate" and other similar terminology are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These

statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events and operating

performance as of the date of this report. Forward-looking statements involve significant risks and

uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not

necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of

factors could cause actual results to vary significantly, including iron ore price and volume volatility,

exchange rates, the performance of IOC, market conditions in the steel industry, mining risks and

insurance, the renewal of the mining leases, outcomes of existing or

future litigation, relationships with aboriginal groups, changes affecting IOC's customers, competition

from other iron ore producers, estimates of reserves and resources and government regulation and

taxation. A discussion of these factors is contained in LIORC's annual information form dated

March

7, 2019

under the heading, "Risk Factors". Although the forward-looking statements contained in this

report are based upon what management of LIORC believes are reasonable assumptions, LIORC

cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements.

These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this report and LIORC assumes no

obligation, except as required by law, to update any forward-looking statements to reflect new

events or circumstances. This report should be viewed in conjunction with LIORC's other publicly

available filings, copies of which can be obtained electronically on SEDAR at

www.sedar.com

.

Notice:

The following unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements of the Corporation have

been prepared by and are the responsibility of the Corporation's management. The Corporation's

independent auditor has not reviewed these interim financial statements.

LABRADOR IRON ORE ROYALTY CORPORATION

INTERIM CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

As at

September 30,

December 31,

(in thousands of Canadian dollars)

2019

2018

(Unaudited)

Assets

Current Assets

Cash and short-term investments

$

62,741

$

80,495

Amounts receivable

50,204

46,548

Total Current Assets

112,945

127,043

Non-Current Assets

Iron Ore Company of Canada ("IOC")

royalty and commission interests

249,250

253,846

Investment in IOC

403,908

382,704

Total Non-Current Assets

653,158

636,550

Total Assets

$

766,103

$

763,593

Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity

Current Liabilities

Accounts payable

$

10,572

$

9,969

Dividend payable

64,000

38,400

Taxes payable

9,223

2,613

Total Current Liabilities

83,795

50,982

Non-Current Liabilities

Deferred income taxes

123,680

121,760

Total Liabilities

207,475

172,742

Shareholders' Equity

Share capital

317,708

317,708

Retained earnings

249,784

280,759

Accumulated other comprehensive loss

(8,864)

(7,616)

558,628

590,851

Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity

$

766,103

$

763,593

Approved by the Directors,

John F. Tuer

Patricia M. Volker

Director

Director

LABRADOR IRON ORE ROYALTY CORPORATION

INTERIM CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME AND COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

For the Three Months Ended

September 30,

(in thousands of Canadian dollars except for per share information)

2019

2018

(Unaudited)

Revenue

IOC royalties

$

45,484

$

43,979

IOC commissions

443

534

Interest and other income

259

43

46,186

44,556

Expenses

Newfoundland royalty taxes

9,097

8,796

Amortization of royalty and commission interests

1,663

1,733

Administrative expenses

787

842

11,547

11,371

Income before equity earnings and income taxes

34,639

33,185

Equity earnings in IOC

32,002

30,600

Income before income taxes

66,641

63,785

Provision for income taxes

Current

10,874

10,429

Deferred

(1,704)

(4,705)

9,170

5,724