Grounded Lithium Announces Robust Investment Metrics in Preliminary Economic Assessment for the Kindersley Lithium Project
Grounded Lithium Announces Robust Investment Metrics in Preliminary
Economic Assessment for the Kindersley Lithium Project
CALGARY, AB
,
July 26, 2023
/CNW/ - (TSXV: GRD) (OTCQB: GRDAF) - Grounded Lithium Corp. ("
GLC
" or the "
Company"
) is pleased to announce the results
of our preliminary economic assessment ("
PEA
") on the first phase 11,000 tonnes per year of battery-grade lithium hydroxide monohydrate ("
LHM
") production
from the Kindersley Lithium Project ("
KLP
"). We anticipate development of additional phases at the KLP motivated largely by the compelling commercial merits of
the economics of the PEA.
Phase 1 KLP Highlights:
Generates an after-tax internal rate of return ("IRR") of 48.5% using a realized sales price of USD
$25,000
/tonne of LHM (flat for the duration of
the model) and an after-tax USD
$1.0 billion
net present value ("NPV") at an 8% discount rate, on a capital investment of USD
$335 million
;
Payout of initial capital costs is only 3.7 years inclusive of lead time design and construction of 1.5 years. We anticipate future KLP phases will be
materially financed via internally generated cash flow;
Initial capital estimate of USD
$335 million
(including USD
$45 million
for contingencies) delivers a capital intensity of USD
$30,500
/tonne of LHM
for our initial 11,000 tonnes per year project, one of the lower capital intensities of North American lithium from brine projects;
All-in operating costs are anticipated to be USD
$3,899
per tonne of LHM, or USD
$42.9 million
annually;
Only 24 of our current 300 sections of lithium rights will be developed in Phase 1 of the KLP. The balance of the sections will support the
development of subsequent phases of the KLP; and
Phase 1 infrastructure investment is expected to underpin capital and operating cost efficiencies for all future phases.
"Grounded is pleased to have achieved another significant milestone in less than three years from incorporation," commented
Gregg Smith
, President and CEO.
"The independent economic results of Phase 1 of the KLP compare favourably within the lithium mining industry from a CAPEX and OPEX perspective and we
believe the results of the PEA bode well for critical future steps, including securing strategic partnerships, off-take agreements, and capital formulation for a
commercial project. We now focus our corporate attention on the completion of a field pilot with Koch Technologies Solutions' ("
KTS
") extraction process, while at
the same time undertaking certain field activities to provide higher certainty on our resources leading to a pre-feasibility study."
Project Summary
The economic analysis of the PEA is based on the following main assumptions:
realized sales price of USD
$25,000
per tonne of LHM;
annual production of 11,000 tonnes per year of LHM;
commerciality of KTS' Li-Pro
™
lithium extraction technology;
minimal prefiltering expenditures due to the absence of hydrocarbons and H
2
S;
large diameter wellbores to mitigate pressure loss due to friction and permit installation of large volume electrical submersible pumps; and
estimated operating and capital costs for the project based on the most current industry data available inclusive of recent strong inflationary pressures on
facilities and labour.
The PEA is based on the expected first phase of production at the KLP which is derived from the mineral resource estimate for the KLP set out in Company's NI
43-101 technical report titled, "
NI 43-101 Technical Report: Resource Assessment of the Kindersley Lithium Project in
Saskatchewan, Canada
for Grounded
Lithium Corp.
(As of
March 15, 2023
)
" (the "
Technical Report
") which is available on SEDAR at
www.sedarplus.com
.
All values reported are in USD unless otherwise noted. The Company will file the PEA on SEDAR (
www.sedarplus.com
) within 45 days of this press release. The
PEA presents data provided by several leading experts in their respective fields, namely Sproule Associates Limited, Grey Owl Engineering, Codeco - Vanoco
Engineering Inc., Tundra Engineering Inc. and Fracture Modeling Inc.
Table 1 – Summary Economics
Description
Value
Units
Value
Units
Average Annual Production (LHM)
11,000
tonnes/year
12,125
tons/year
Average Annual Production (LCE)
9,685
tonnes/year
10,676
tons/year
Project Life
20
years
20
years
Foreign Exchange (FX)
0.75
ratio
1.33
ratio
Total Capital Cost (CAPEX)
447,323
CAD$M
335,492
USD$M
Annual Operating Expenditure (OPEX)
57,188
CAD$M
42,891
USD$M
OPEX per tonne LHM
5,199
CAD/tonne
3,899
USD/tonne
LHM Commodity Price
33,333
CAD/tonne
25,000
USD/tonne
Average Annual Revenue
366,592
CAD$M
274,944
USD$M
Economic Indicators
Before-Tax
(Btax)
Units
After-Tax
(Atax)
Units
Net Present Value (NPV@8%)
1,819,507
CAD$M
1,309,860
CAD$M
Net Present Value (NPV@8%)
1,364,630
USD$M
982,395
USD$M
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
58.2
%
48.5
%
Payout (PO)
3.5
years
3.7
years
Profitability Index (PI@8%)
5.1
ratio
3.9
ratio
Note 1: The PEA is a preliminary cost estimate and includes inferred mineral resources that are considered too geologically speculative to have the economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to be categorized as mineral reserves under National Instrument 43-101
–
Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects
("
NI 43-101
"). There is no certainty the results of the KLP outlined by the PEA will be realized.
Capital Costs
Table 2 – KLP Capital Cost Summary
($ thousands)
Total
CAD
Total
USD
Wellfield
Drilling
$ 31,051
$ 23,289
Completion
17,280
12,960
Pipelines
55,782
41,836
Subtotal
$ 104,113
$ 78,085
Central Processing Facility
Infrastructure
$ 238,754
$ 179,066
Planning, Engineering, Legal & Administration
14,922
11,192
Construction & Commissioning
29,844
22,383
Subtotal
$ 283,520
$ 212,640
Contingency
$ 59,689
$ 44,766
TOTAL
$ 447,322
$ 335,492
Given the operating conditions, the capital intensity for the KLP is forecasted to be materially lower than some of the other operations in the industry. Capital
efficiency is vitally important in projects of this size and the leverage that accrues to project stakeholders due to industry leading capital efficiency ratios directly
impact rates of return. These capital estimates will be further refined as the Company moves toward the pre-feasibility and bankable feasibility milestones. These
estimates represent a Class 5 engineering cost estimate. We do expect modifications to these estimates with the completion of more precise and detailed
engineering.
Operating Costs
Table 3 – KLP Operating Cost Summary
Annual OPEX in $ thousands per year
OPEX in $ per metric tonne LHM
Annual OPEX
CAD/yr
Annual OPEX
USD/yr
OPEX
CAD/tonne
LHM
OPEX
USD/tonne
LHM
Personnel
$ 6,250
$ 4,688
$ 568
$ 426
Electric Power
13,626
10,220
1,239
929
Reagents and Consumables
21,218
15,914
1,929
1,447
Maintenance and Servicing
7,839
5,879
713
534
Product Transport & Disposal
2,555
1,916
232
174
Direct Operational Expenditures
$ 51,489
$ 38,617
$4,681
$3,511
Indirect Operational Expenditures
$ 2,528
$ 1,896
$230
$172
Land Fess, Taxes, Other
$ 3,172
$ 2,379
$288
$216
TOTAL
$ 57,188
$ 42,891
$5,199
$3,899
Total operating costs of USD
$42.9 million
per year, or USD
$3,899
per tonne of LHM, are broken out by each major project step and are inclusive of direct and
indirect costs. The majority of the operating costs are associated with reagents required within the system and power consumption. For purposes of the PEA, we
assumed that sufficient power can be secured from the existing grid structure. However, as we advance the KLP towards commercialization, there is the potential
to construct owner secured power options such as a cogeneration unit. This would represent an additional capital charge offset by the benefit of stable,
predictable, cost-efficient power supply. Excess power generated from such a unit could be sold into the existing power market to partially offset the operating
costs.
Sensitivity Analysis
Table 4 – Economic Sensitivity Summary (USD)
OFAT Sensitivity Analysis - CAPEX
($ thousands)
Low Case
CAPEX -40%
USD
Low Case
CAPEX -20%
USD
Base Case
CAPEX
USD
High Case
CAPEX +20%
USD
High Case
CAPEX +40%
USD
CAPEX
$ 201,295
$ 268,394
$ 335,492
$ 402,590
$ 469,689
NPV@8% - Btax
$ 1,473,192
$ 1,418,999
$ 1,364,630
$ 1,310,615
$ 1,256,423
NPV@8% - Atax
$ 1,067,559
$ 1,025,042
$ 982,395
$ 940,007
$ 897,328
IRR (%) - Btax
92
71
58
49
42
IRR (%) - Atax
76
59
49
41
36
OFAT Sensitivity Analysis - OPEX
($ thousands)
Low Case
OPEX -40%
USD
Low Case
OPEX -20%
USD
Base Case
OPEX
USD
High Case
OPEX +20%
USD
High Case
OPEX +40%
USD
OPEX
$ 25,735
$ 34,313
$ 42,891
$ 51,469
$ 60,047
NPV@8% - Btax
$ 1,498,577
$ 1,431,692
$ 1,364,630
$ 1,297,922
$ 1,231,037
NPV@8% - Atax
$ 1,080,176
$ 1,031,350
$ 982,395
$ 933,698
$ 884,872
IRR (%) - Btax
62
60
58
56
54
IRR (%) - Atax
52
50
49
47
45
OFAT Sensitivity Analysis - LHM Price
($ thousands)
Low Case
LHM Price -40%
USD
Low Case
LHM Price -20%
USD
Base Case
LHM Price
USD
High Case
LHM Price +20%
USD
High Case
LHM Price +40%
USD
LHM Price per tonne
$ 15
$ 20
$ 25
$ 30
$ 35
NPV@8% - Btax
$ 576,730
$ 970,769
$ 1,364,630
$ 1,758,846
$ 2,152,885
NPV@8% - Atax
$ 406,465
$ 694,876
$ 982,395
$ 1,270,172
$ 1,557,821
IRR (%) - Btax
31
45
58
71
83
IRR (%) - Atax
27
38
49
59
68
A table similar to Table 4 expressed in Canadian dollars can be found on the Company's website. A detailed future pricing study for lithium chemicals was not
completed for the PEA. The average price used for future sales of battery-quality LHM was developed by reviewing pricing data generated from reliable sources
as reported in publicly disclosed data collected from peer companies. The future average selling price of USD
$25,000
/tonne for LHM is consistent with that used
in publicly released economic assessments of other lithium projects in recent history. Current spot pricing for battery-grade lithium products average greater than
USD
$40,000
/tonne, therefore the potential upside leverage to KLP economics is noteworthy.
Sensitivities demonstrate that the KLP is expected to provide torque to the upside upon any potential future increase in underlying commodity prices. With the
demand for critical minerals expected to exceed world supply, the low-cost structure of the KLP is expected to provide elastic returns to the upside. The low-cost
structure of the KLP was a key determinant in the Company focusing on the KLP area, since during downturns in commodity cycles, low-cost operations provide
projects with improved price resilience.
About Grounded Lithium Corp.
GLC is a publicly traded lithium brine exploration and development company that controls approximately 4.2 million metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent of
inferred resource over our focused land holdings in
Southwest Saskatchewan
as of the effective date of the Technical Report. The Company's PEA reports a
Phase 1 NPV
8
after-tax of
US$1.0 billion
with an after-tax internal rate of return of 48.5%. GLC's multi-faceted business model involves the consolidation,
delineation, exploitation and ultimately development of our opportunity base to fulfill our vision to build a best-in-class, environmentally responsible, Canadian
lithium producer supporting the global energy transition shift. U.S. investors can find current financial disclosure and Real-Time Level 2 quotes for the Company on
https://www.otcmarkets.com/
.
Qualified Persons and Technical Report
Scientific and technical information contained in this press release has been prepared under the supervision of
Doug Ashton
, P.Eng.,
Suryanarayana Karri
, P.
Geoph.,
Alexey Romanov
, P. Geo. and
Meghan Klein
, P. Eng.,
Dean Quirk
, P.Eng.,
Jeffrey Weiss
, P.Eng.,
Chad Hitchings
., P.L. Eng., and
Michael Munteanu
,
P.Eng., each of whom is a qualified person within the meaning of NI 43-101.
Certain data verification, exploration information and other disclosure regarding the mineral resources data contained in this press release is included in the
Technical Report.
Market Support Agreement
The Company has transitioned its market making services to Red Cloud Securities Inc. ("
Red Cloud
").
Red Cloud
will provide these services for trading on
the TSX Venture Exchange ("
TSXV
") in accordance with the TSXV policies, for the purpose of maintaining an orderly market. The Company will engage Red
Cloud on a month-to-month basis for a fee of
$5,000
cash per month.
Red Cloud
and GLC are unrelated and unaffiliated entities.
Red Cloud
will not receive
shares or options as consideration.
Red Cloud
or affiliate(s) of
Red Cloud
currently hold 145,834 common shares and 2,326,137 broker warrants of GLC received
in consideration for services previously performed for GLC. The capital used for market making will be provided by
Red Cloud
.
Technical Abbreviations and CIM Definition Standards
The disclosure in this news release uses mineral resources and mineral reserves classification terms that comply with reporting standards in
Canada
, and the
mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates are made in accordance with the CIM Definition Standards and NI 43-101.
In this news release, the following abbreviations have the meanings set forth below:
bbls
barrels
bbls/d
barrels per day
km
kilometres
m
metres
m
3
cubic metres
mi
miles
mg/L
milligram per litre
ppm
parts per million
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release may contain forward-looking statements and forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. The
opinions, forecasts, projections and statements about future events of results, are forward looking information, forward-looking statements or financial outlooks
(collectively, "forward-looking statements") under the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. These statements are made as of the date of this press
release and the fact that this press release remains available does not constitute a representation by GLC that the Company believes these forward-looking
statements continue to be true as of any subsequent date. Although GLC believes that the assumptions underlying, and expectations reflected in, these forward-
looking statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that these assumptions and expectations will prove to be correct. Such statements include, but are
not limited to, statements regarding the NPV of the first phase of production at the KLP, the expected realized sales price of LHM, the capital intensity of the first
phase of production at the KLP, the operating cost and capital cost of the first phase of production at the KLP, the expectation the Company will implement
multiple 10,000 tonnes/year phases of production of LCE on the KLP, the completion of the Company's field pilot, obtaining higher certainty on GLC's resources
leading to a pre-feasibility study, obtaining funding under government programs, securing strategic partnerships, off-take agreements and capital formulation,
supply in the battery mineral market, creating shareholder value, the amount of annual production at the KLP, the commerciality of KTS' Li-Pro
TM
lithium extraction
technology, re-injection of brine in the reservoir, the number of production wells and injector wells on the KLP, the average brine production from each production
well, the drilling of additional production wells and the impact of same on project economics, the project life of the KLP, the pre-treatment required for KLP brine,
the timing of the construction of the field pilot, obtaining power from the grid, constructing owner secured power such as a co-generation unit, the use of
contractors in the process of commercializing the KLP, and GLC's vision of becoming a best-in-class, environmentally responsible, Canadian lithium producer
supporting the global energy transition.
Among the important factors, risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking
statements are: those assumptions listed under "
Project Summary
" above, GLC's expectation that our operations will be in
Western Canada
, unexpected
problems can arise due to technical difficulties and operational difficulties which impact the production, transport or sale of our products; geographic and weather
conditions can impact the production; the risk that current global economic and credit conditions may impact commodity prices and consumption more than GLC
currently predicts; the failure to obtain financing on reasonable terms; the risk that unexpected delays and difficulties in developing currently owned properties may
occur; the failure of drilling to result in commercial projects; unexpected delays due to the limited availability of drilling equipment and personnel; and the other risk
factors detailed from time to time in GLC's periodic reports. GLC's forward-looking statements are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary
statement.
This news release shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities in any jurisdiction.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts
responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.
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For further information:
Gregg Smith, President & CEO, [email protected]; Greg Phaneuf, SVP Corporate Development & CFO,
[email protected], Phone: 587.319.6220
CO: Grounded Lithium Corp
CNW 07:00e 26-JUL-23