Ero Copper Announces 2021 Production Guidance Beat and Provides 5-Year Outlook
January 11, 2022
Ero Copper Announces 2021 Production Guidance Beat and Provides 5-Year Outlook
(all amounts in US dollars, unless otherwise noted)
Vancouver, British Columbia – Ero Copper Corp. (TSX: ERO, NYSE: ERO) (“Ero” or the
“Company”) is pleased to announce its 2021 production results, 2022 guidance and a five-year operating
outlook through 2026.
HIGHLIGHTS
Record Copper Production Result for 2021
• At the MCSA Mining Complex, total production for 2021 was 45,511 tonnes of copper in
concentrate, surpassing the high-end of full-year guidance of 42,000 to 45,000 tonnes; and,
• At the NX Gold Mine, total production for 2021 was 37,798 ounces of gold, surpassing high-end
of full-year guidance of 34,500 to 37,500 ounces of gold.
Updated mineral reserve estimate for Deepening Extension Zone enables the creation of a two-
mine system at the Pilar Mine with redesigned larger external shaft
• The creation of a two-mine system at the Pilar Mine, known as "Pilar 3.0", whereby the upper
levels of the mine will be serviced by the existing shaft, while the Deepening Extension Zone
will utilize the new, larger external shaft, expected to result in significant growth in total
production from the mine;
• Annual ore production from the Pilar Mine is now forecast to achieve approximately 3.0 million
tonnes by 2026 versus the current production rate of approximately 1.3 million tonnes. From
2027 onwards, annual ore production is expected to range from 2.6 million to 3.0 million tonnes;
and,
• Pilar 3.0 results in the deferral of capital related to the construction of higher operating cost ore-
sorting projects at N8/N9 and Siriema.
2022 Production, Cost and Capital Expenditure Guidance
• 2022 MCSA Mining Complex production guidance of 43,000 to 46,000 tonnes of copper in
concentrate at a C1 cash cost guidance range of $1.05 to $1.15 per pound of copper produced;
• 2022 NX Gold Mine production guidance of 39,000 to 42,000 ounces of gold at C1 cash cost and
all-in sustaining ("AISC") guidance ranges of $500 to $600 and $925 to $1,025 per ounce of gold
produced, respectively; and,
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1 Ero Copper Corp
625 Howe Street | Suite 1050 | Vancouver | BC | V6C 2T6 | Canada
• Capital expenditures expected to total $330 to $375 million in 2022, including $39 to $46 million
in consolidated exploration spend and $70 to $80 million towards the construction of the Boa
Esperança Project expected to commence in Q2 2022, subject to approval by the Board of
Directors of the Company. Also reflected in the 2022 capital expenditure guidance:
◦ Ongoing construction of the larger external shaft and completion of the Phase 2 cooling
project as part of Pilar Mine 3.0; and,
◦ Commencement of the Caraíba Mill expansion to 4.2 million tonnes per annum in
preparation for expanded operations at the MCSA Mining Complex.
5-Year Operating Outlook
• Copper production is forecast to more than double 1 compared to the Company's 2021 results to a
range of 92,000 to 102,000 tonnes of copper in concentrate in 2025, assuming contributions from
the Boa Esperança Mine2;
• Copper C1 cash costs are expected to average approximately $1.051 per pound of copper
produced on forecasted production totaling approximately 350,0001 tonnes from 2022 to 2026;
• Annual gold production is forecast to increase to a range of 55,000 to 60,000 ounces by 2024, an
increase of over 50%1 compared to 2021 results;
• Gold C1 cash costs and AISC are expected to average approximately $5151 and $6751,
respectively, per ounce of gold produced with production totaling approximately 265,0001
ounces from 2022 through 2026; and,
• Key capital projects aimed at doubling copper production, positioning the MCSA Mining
Complex for expanded operations, and achieving higher sustained gold production at the NX
Gold Mine include:
◦ Approximately $300 million for the construction of the Boa Esperança Project2;
◦ Approximately $250 million for the construction of Pilar 3.0 including the larger external
shaft, associated infrastructure, ventilation, cooling and equipment plus an estimated $35
million for ancillary capital costs including contingency and third-party construction
management costs;
◦ Approximately $30 million to support expanded operations at the MCSA Mining Complex,
including the expansion of mill capacity for the Caraíba Mill to 4.2 million tonnes per
annum and long-term tailings storage capacity improvements to support the increased
throughput and longer mine life; and,
◦ Approximately $10 million to support higher sustained gold production of approximately
60,000 ounces at the NX Gold Mine as part of the Company's "NX 60" initiative.
1. Based on midpoint of guidance range(s).
2. Outlook assumes contributions from the Boa Esperança Mine. Construction of the Boa Esperança Project is expected to
commence in Q2 2022 but remains subject to the approval of the Board of Directors of the Company.
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2 Ero Copper Corp
625 Howe Street | Suite 1050 | Vancouver | BC | V6C 2T6 | Canada
Commenting on the results, David Strang, CEO, stated, “2021 was a pivotal year for Ero Copper. Our
team delivered another year of record production results and laid the foundation for significant organic
growth of copper and gold production in the years ahead. In addition to announcing the results of our
optimized Feasibility Study on the Boa Esperança Project and demonstrating meaningful growth in our
reserves and resources across our operating portfolio, we completed a redesign of the Pilar Mine,
known as Pilar 3.0. Both projects fit with our focus on maximizing returns on invested capital ("ROIC").
In the case of Pilar 3.0, we have replaced a lower ROIC initiative, the ore sorting project, with a higher
one. Likewise, at our NX Gold operations, we have initiated a project, known as NX 60, that is focused
on sustaining longer term gold production of approximately 60,000 ounces per year by incorporating
the new Matinha Vein into our mine plan from 2024 onwards.
"We are now well-placed to achieve the next stage of our growth — becoming a 100,000 tonne a year
copper and 60,000 ounce a year gold producer by 2025 — while maintaining first quartile operating
costs and industry-leading ROIC."
2021 PRODUCTION RESULTS
• At the MCSA Mining Complex, approximately 2.4 million tonnes of ore grading 2.08% copper
was processed during the year, resulting in 45,511 tonnes of copper in concentrate produced after
average metallurgical recoveries of 92.4%;
◦ Fourth quarter mill throughput of 646,319 tonnes of ore grading 1.99% copper resulted in
11,918 tonnes of copper in concentrate produced after average metallurgical recoveries of
92.7% during the period;
• At the NX Gold Mine, 171,581 tonnes of ore grading 7.27 grams per tonne ("gpt") gold was
processed during the year, producing 37,798 ounces of gold and 25,031 ounces of silver as by-
product after average metallurgical recoveries of 94.2%;
◦ Fourth quarter mill throughput of 47,159 tonnes of ore grading 6.24 gpt gold resulted in
8,544 ounces of gold produced and 5,859 ounces of silver produced as by-product after
average metallurgical recoveries of 90.3% during the period;
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3 Ero Copper Corp
625 Howe Street | Suite 1050 | Vancouver | BC | V6C 2T6 | Canada
2022 PRODUCTION GUIDANCE
Copper production guidance from the MCSA Mining Complex in 2022 of 43,000 to 46,000 tonnes of
copper in concentrate is expected to come from the Pilar and Vermelhos underground mines as well the
Surubim open pit mine. Total ore processed of approximately 3.0 million tonnes at a blended grade of
1.60% copper is expected to be comprised of 1.8 million tonnes at 1.50% copper from the Pilar Mine,
900,000 tonnes at 2.05% copper from the Vermelhos Mine, and 300,000 tonnes at 0.75% copper from
the Surubim Mine.
Gold production guidance from the NX Gold Mine for 2022 of 39,000 to 42,000 ounces is expected to
come from the Santo Antônio Vein based on total ore processed of approximately 168,000 tonnes at a
gold grade of 8.00 grams per tonne.
2021 Guidance 2021 Actual Production 2022 Guidance
MCSA Mining Complex
Tonnes Processed 2,700,000 2,370,571 3,000,000
Copper Grade (%) 1.75 % 2.08 % 1.60 %
Copper Recovery (%) 93.0 % 92.4 % 92.5 %
Copper Production (kt) 42,000 - 45,000 45,511 43,000 - 46,000
NX Gold Mine
Tonnes Processed 167,000 171,581 168,000
Gold Grade (gpt) 7.20 7.27 8.00
Gold Recovery (%) 92.0 % 94.2 % 93.0 %
Au Production (koz) 34,500 - 37,500 37,798 39,000 - 42,000
Ag Production (koz) n/a 25,031 n/a
Note: Guidance is based on certain estimates and assumptions, including but not limited to, mineral reserve estimates, grade
and continuity of interpreted geological formations and metallurgical performance. Please refer to the Company's SEDAR
and EDGAR filings, including the Company's Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2020 and dated
March 16, 2021 (the "AIF") for complete risk factors.
2022 COST GUIDANCE
C1 Cash Cost guidance at the MCSA Mining Complex in 2022 of $1.05 to $1.15 per pound of copper
produced reflects increased mill feed from the Surubim open pit mine compared to its partial year of
production in 2021. AISC per ounce of gold produced at the NX Gold Mine in 2022 reflect higher
sustaining capital expenditures related to projects rescheduled from 2021 to 2022 . The Company's 2022
cost guidance assumes a USD:BRL foreign exchange rate of 5.30, a gold price of $1,725 per ounce, and
a silver price of $20.00 per ounce.
2021 Guidance
Original Revised 2022 Guidance
Copper C1 Cash Cost ($/lb) $0.75 - $0.85 no change $1.05 - $1.15
Gold C1 Cash Cost ($/oz) $500 - $600 no change $500 - $600
Gold All-in Sustaining Cost ($/oz) $875 - $975 $650 - $725 $925 - $1,025
Note: C1 Cash Costs and AISC are non-IFRS measures. Please see the Notes section of this press release for additional
information. 2021 guidance assumed a USD:BRL exchange rate of 5.00, with no change to gold and silver price
assumptions.
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4 Ero Copper Corp
625 Howe Street | Suite 1050 | Vancouver | BC | V6C 2T6 | Canada
2022 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE GUIDANCE
Forecasted capital expenditures for 2022 reflect growth investments related to expanding production at
the MCSA Mining Complex (Pilar 3.0), development of the Matinha Vein (part of project NX 60), and
the planned construction of the Boa Esperança Project 1. Higher expected sustaining capital expenditures
at the NX Gold Mine are related to the timing of certain sustaining capital projects that were deferred
from 2021 into 2022. The Company's capital expenditure guidance for 2022 assumes a USD:BRL
foreign exchange rate of 5.30 versus a 5.00 USD:BRL foreign exchange rate assumed in 2021. Capital
expenditure guidance has been presented below in USD millions.
2021 Guidance
Original Revised 2022 Guidance
MCSA Mining Complex
Growth $12.5 - $15.0 $26.0 - $28.5 $125 - $140
Sustaining $69.0 - $78.0 $69.0 - $78.0 $80 - $90
Exploration $30.0 - $35.0 no change $25 - $30
Total $111.5 - $128.0 $125.0 - $141.5 $230 - $260
Boa Esperança1
Growth $1.0 - $1.5 $7.0 - $9.0 $70 - $80
Sustaining — — —
Exploration — — $5 - $6
Total $1.0 - $1.5 $7.0 - $9.0 $75 - $86
NX Gold Mine
Growth — $8.5 - $9.5 $0 - $1
Sustaining $13.0 - $15.0 $4.5 - $5.5 $16 - $18
Exploration $8.0 - $10.0 no change $9 - $10
Total $21.0 - $25.0 no change $25 - $29
Total
Growth $13.5 - $16.5 $41.5 - $47.0 $195 - $221
Sustaining $82.0 - $93.0 $73.5 - $83.5 $96 - $108
Exploration $38.0 - $45.0 no change $39 - $46
Total $133.5 - $154.5 $153.0 - $175.5 $330 - $375
1. Capital expenditures for the construction of the Boa Esperança Project expected to commence in Q2 2022, subject to
receipt of approval by the Board of Directors of the Company. For more information on the Boa Esperança Project,
including capital expenditure assumptions, please refer to the NI 43-101 compliant technical report entitled "Boa Esperança
Project NI 43-101 Technical Report on Feasibility Study Update" dated November 12, 2021 with an effective date of
August 31, 2021, prepared by Kevin Murray, P. Eng., Erin L. Patterson, P. Eng., and Scott C. Elfen, P.E., all of Ausenco
Engineering Canada Inc., Carlos Guzmán, FAusIMM RM CMC of NCL Ingeniería y Construcción SpA, who are
independent qualified persons under NI 43-101, and Emerson Ricardo Re, MSc, MBA, MAusIMM (CP) (No. 305892),
Registered Member (No. 0138) (Chilean Mining Commission) and Resource Manager of the Company (the “2021 Boa
Esperança Technical Report”).
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5 Ero Copper Corp
625 Howe Street | Suite 1050 | Vancouver | BC | V6C 2T6 | Canada
5-YEAR OPERATING OUTLOOK
The Company's five-year operating outlook reflects execution of the following strategic growth projects:
• Construction of and production ramp-up at the Boa Esperança mine with construction to
commence in Q2 2022, subject to receipt of approval by the Board of Directors of the Company;
• Pilar 3.0 beginning with construction of the new external shaft and associated development at the
Deepening Extension Zone followed by ramp-up of production volumes to 3.0 million tonnes in
2026, with longer-term (2027 onwards) volumes forecast to be between 2.6 and 3.0 million
tonnes;
• Investments to support expanded operations at the MCSA Mining Complex, including increasing
both processing capacity of the Caraíba Mill to 4.2 million tonnes per annum and long-term
tailings storage capacity to support the extended mine life; and,
• The development of the Matinha Vein at the NX Gold Mine in support of project NX 60, with
production from this new vein expected to commence in 2024.
The Company's 2022 cost and capital expenditure guidance assumes a USD:BRL foreign exchange rate
of 5.30, while all subsequent years assume a USD:BRL foreign exchange rate of 5.00. Cost guidance
assumes a gold price of $1,725 per ounce and a silver price of $20.00 per ounce for the five-year
projection period. Capital expenditure guidance has been presented in the following table in USD
millions.
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6 Ero Copper Corp
625 Howe Street | Suite 1050 | Vancouver | BC | V6C 2T6 | Canada
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Production Guidance
Copper (tonnes)
MCSA Mining Complex 43,000 - 46,000 43,000 - 47,000 45,000 - 50,000 45,000 - 50,000 47,000 - 52,000
Boa Esperança1 — — 25,000 - 30,000 47,000 - 52,000 38,000 - 43,000
Total Copper 43,000 - 46,000 43,000 - 47,000 70,000 - 80,000 92,000 - 102,000 85,000 - 95,000
Gold (ounces)
NX Gold Mine 39,000 - 42,000 50,000 - 55,000 55,000 - 60,000 55,000 - 60,000 55,000 - 60,000
Cost Guidance
Copper C1 Cash Cost ($/lb)
MCSA Mining Complex $1.05 - $1.15 $1.05 - $1.15 $1.15 - $1.25 $1.10 - $1.20 $1.00 - $1.10
Boa Esperança1 — — $0.90 - $1.00 $0.80 - $0.90 $1.00 - $1.10
Blended C1 Cash Cost ($/lb) — — $1.05 - $1.15 $0.95 - $1.05 $1.00 - $1.10
Gold C1 Cash Cost ($/oz) $500 - $600 $475 - $575 $450 - $550 $450 - $550 $450 - $550
Gold All-in Sustaining Cost ($/oz) $925 - $1,025 $650 - $750 $550 - $650 $550 - $650 $550 - $650
Capital Expenditure Guidance ($ in millions)
MCSA Mining Complex
Growth $125 - $140 $60 - $70 $60 - $70 $50 - $60 $30 - $40
Sustaining $80 - $90 $80 - $90 $65 - $75 $50 - $60 $50 - $60
Exploration $25 - $30 future exploration expenditures dependent on exploration success
Total $230 - $260 $140 - $160 $125 - $145 $100 - $120 $80 - $100
Boa Esperança1
Growth $70 - $80 $160 - $180 $45 - $55 $0 - $0 $0 - $0
Sustaining $0 - $0 $0 - $0 $5 - $10 $15 - $25 $20 - $30
Exploration $5 - $6 future exploration expenditures dependent on exploration success
Total $75 - $86 $160 - $180 $50 - $65 $15 - $25 $20 - $30
NX Gold Mine
Growth $0 - $1 $5 - $6 $5 - $6 $0 - $1 $0 - $1
Sustaining $16 - $18 $8 - $10 $4 - $6 $4 - $6 $4 - $6
Exploration $9 - $10 future exploration expenditures dependent on exploration success
Total $25 - $29 $13 - $16 $9 - $12 $4 - $7 $4 - $7
Total
Growth $195 - $221 $225 - $256 $110 - $131 $50 - $61 $30 - $41
Sustaining $96 - $108 $88 - $100 $74 - $91 $69 - $91 $74 - $96
Exploration $39 - $46 future exploration expenditures dependent on exploration success
Total $330 - $375 $313 - $356 $184 - $222 $119 - $152 $104 - $137
Note: Guidance is based on certain estimates and assumptions, including but not limited to, mineral reserve estimates, grade
and continuity of interpreted geological formations and metallurgical performance. Please refer to the Company's SEDAR
and EDGAR filings, including the AIF, for complete risk factors. C1 Cash Costs and AISC are non-IFRS measures. Please
see the Notes section of this press release for additional information. For more information on the Boa Esperança Project,
including production, cost and capital expenditure assumptions, please refer to the 2021 Boa Esperança Technical Report.
1. Outlook assumes contributions from the Boa Esperança Mine. Construction of the Boa Esperança Project is expected to
commence in Q2 2022 but remains subject to the approval of the Board of Directors of the Company.
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NYSE: ERO
7 Ero Copper Corp
625 Howe Street | Suite 1050 | Vancouver | BC | V6C 2T6 | Canada
5-YEAR PRODUCTION PLAN
The Company's five-year operating outlook reflects the five-year production plan estimates provided
below. Tonnes and grades are based on current mine plan assumptions and represent the midpoint of
performance expectations with a range of +/- 10%.
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Production Plan
MCSA Mining Complex
Pilar Mine
Tonnes (kt) 1,800 2,200 2,700 2,600 3,000
Grade (% Cu) 1.50% 1.30% 1.25% 1.25% 1.30%
Vermelhos Mine
Tonnes (kt) 900 850 850 950 800
Grade (% Cu) 2.05% 1.75% 1.25% 1.15% 1.30%
Surubim
Tonnes (kt) 300 550 550 600 500
Grade (% Cu) 0.75% 0.65% 0.75% 0.75% 1.10%
Processing Operations
Tonnes (kt) 3,000 3,700 4,200 4,200 4,200
Grade (% Cu) 1.60% 1.35% 1.20% 1.20% 1.25%
Recovery Rate 92.5% 92.5% 92.5% 92.5% 92.5%
Recovered Copper (tonnes) 43,000 - 46,000 43,000 - 47,000 45,000 - 50,000 45,000 - 50,000 47,000 - 52,000
Boa Esperança1
Mining Operations
Tonnes (kt) — — 2,300 4,200 4,100
Grade (% Cu) — — 1.30% 1.25% 1.05%
Processing Operations
Tonnes (kt) — — 2,200 4,000 4,000
Grade (% Cu) — — 1.35% 1.35% 1.10%
Recovery Rate (%) — — 93.0% 93.0% 92.0%
Recovered Copper (tonnes) — — 25,000 - 30,000 47,000 - 52,000 38,000 - 43,000
Total Recovered Copper (tonnes) 43,000 - 46,000 43,000 - 47,000 70,000 - 80,000 92,000 - 102,000 85,000 - 95,000
NX Gold Mine
Tonnes (kt) 167 190 220 230 230
Grade (gpt Au) 8.00 9.50 8.75 8.25 8.25
Recover Rate 93.0% 93.0% 93.0% 93.0% 93.0%
Recovered Gold (ounces) 39,000 - 42,000 50,000 - 55,000 55,000 - 60,000 55,000 - 60,000 55,000 - 60,000
Note: Guidance is based on certain estimates and assumptions, including but not limited to, mineral reserve estimates, grade
and continuity of interpreted geological formations and metallurgical performance. Please refer to the Company's SEDAR
and EDGAR filings, including the AIF, for complete risk factors. For more information on the Boa Esperança Project,
including production assumptions, please refer to the 2021 Boa Esperança Technical Report.
1. Outlook assumes contributions from the Boa Esperança Mine. Construction of the Boa Esperança Project is expected to
commence in Q2 2022 but remains subject to the approval of the Board of Directors of the Company.
TSX: ERO
NYSE: ERO
8 Ero Copper Corp
625 Howe Street | Suite 1050 | Vancouver | BC | V6C 2T6 | Canada