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Ero Copper Reports Third Quarter 2024 Operating and Financial Results

Production Results Financials

TSX: ERO NYSE: ERO

November 5, 2024

Ero Copper Reports Third Quarter 2024 Operating and Financial Results

(all amounts in US dollars, unless otherwise noted)

Vancouver, British Columbia – Ero Copper Corp. (TSX: ERO, NYSE: ERO) (“Ero” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce its operating and financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024. Management will host a conference call tomorrow, Wednesday, November  6, 2024, at 11:30 a.m. eastern time to discuss the results. Dial-in details for the call can be found near the end of this press release.

HIGHLIGHTS

  • The Tucumã Operation achieved a major commissioning milestone in July 2024, producing its first saleable copper concentrate. As ramp-up efforts increased mill throughput during the quarter, the operation delivered 839 tonnes of copper, contributing to consolidated quarterly copper production of 10,759 tonnes.
  • Consolidated quarterly copper production also included contributions from the Caraíba Operations of 9,920 tonnes at C1 cash costs(*) of $1.63 per pound of copper produced.
  • Gold production for the quarter was 13,485 ounces at C1 cash costs(*) and All-in Sustaining Costs ("AISC")(*) of $539 and $1,034, respectively, per ounce produced.
  • Improved operating margins were supported by a significant decrease in unit operating costs at the Caraíba Operations and higher realized gold prices at the Xavantina Operations, resulting in:
    • Net income attributable to the owners of the Company of $40.9 million, or $0.39 per share on a diluted basis.
    • Adjusted net income attributable to the owners of the Company(*) of $27.6 million, or $0.27 per share on a diluted basis.
    • Adjusted EBITDA(*) of $62.2 million.
  • Available liquidity at quarter-end was $125.2 million, including $20.2 million in cash and cash equivalents, $80.0 million of undrawn availability under the Company's senior secured revolving credit facility, and $25.0 million of undrawn availability under the copper prepayment facility.

(*) These are non-IFRS measures and do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and might not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. Please refer to the Company’s discussion of Non-IFRS measures in its Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 and the Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures section at the end of this press release.

1 Ero Copper Corp

  • During the quarter, the Company opportunistically entered into zero-cost gold collar contracts on 2,500 ounces of gold per month from January 2025 to December 2025, representing just over 50% of projected 2025 gold production at the Xavantina Operations. These contracts set a floor price of $2,200 per ounce, while allowing for upside participation in gold price increases up to a cap of $3,425 per ounce, over 20% above the all-time high price reached in October 2024.
  • Key 2024 guidance updates include:
    • The Company is updating consolidated copper production guidance to 43,000 to 48,000 tonnes in concentrate, reflecting an extension of Tucumã's ramp-up schedule due to power disruptions in Q3 and October 2024 and slower-thanexpected underground development progress at Caraíba's Pilar Mine.
    • Due to the anticipated delay in achieving commercial production at the Tucumã Operation, the Company is narrowing 2024 C1 cash cost guidance to only include the Caraíba Operations. The Company is reaffirming full-year C1 cash cost guidance for the Caraíba Operations of $1.80 to $2.00 per pound of copper produced.
    • Full-year gold production guidance is being maintained at the increased range of 60,000 to 65,000. The Company is also reaffirming reduced full-year gold cost guidance of $450 to $550 per ounce of produced for C1 cash costs, and $900 to $1,000 per ounce for AISC.
    • The Company is maintaining full-year consolidated capital expenditure guidance of $303 to $348 million.

“The third quarter and year-to-date period presented both significant achievements to celebrate and new challenges to navigate,” said David Strang, Chief Executive Officer. “We have reached the inflection point we have been working towards since the publication of Tucumã's Optimized Feasibility Study in September 2021. With construction complete and ramp-up to commercial production underway, reaching this milestone in just over three years is a remarkable accomplishment.

"Alongside this achievement, came operational headwinds, including power-related challenges that have impacted our ramp-up schedule at Tucumã. At our Caraíba Operations, we made progress in accelerating underground development rates at the Pilar Mine, though the performance of a third-party development contractor has been below expectations. We view these challenges as transitional, and our team is actively working on returning to plan.

"Despite these setbacks, our financial results have been strengthened by improved operating margins driven by significantly lower unit costs at Caraíba and higher realized gold prices at Xavantina. We are optimistic about the path ahead, with 2025 on track to be our best year yet, and look forward to delivering strong value for our stakeholders."

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THIRD QUARTER REVIEW

The Caraíba Operations

  • Quarterly copper production at the Caraíba Operation increased 11.9% quarter-onquarter to 9,920 tonnes of copper in concentrate, with higher mined and processed copper grades offsetting lower mill throughput.
  • Higher copper grades also contributed to a 24.5% decrease in C1 cash costs, which averaged $1.63 per pound of copper produced for the quarter. C1 cash costs and margins also benefited from improved concentrate treatment and refining charges, secured as of May 2024, as well as a more favorable USD to BRL exchange rate.
  • Efforts to increase underground development rates at the Pilar Mine were impacted by slower-than-anticipated progress by a third-party development contractor during the quarter. Consequently, the Company expects lower mined and processed tonnage at the Caraíba Operations through year-end.
  • To support accelerated development rates, the Company intends to engage an additional contractor in Q4 2024.

The Tucumã Operation

  • The Tucumã Operation successfully produced first saleable concentrate in July 2024. Production for the quarter was 839 tonnes of copper in concentrate, with mill throughput totaling 110,778 tonnes and metallurgical recoveries averaging 75.7%.
  • Mining operations continued ahead of schedule, contributing to a buildup of ore stockpiles that are expected to be processed in Q4 2024 and throughout 2025.
  • The ramp-up of Tucumã's processing plant progressed well through July and the majority of August; however, as the plant moved toward continuous operations, the Company detected intermittent voltage oscillations within the third-party regional power grid. These oscillations limited the ability to run the mill at full capacity on a continuous basis.
  • Subsequent to quarter-end, the Tucumã Operation experienced a temporary power disruption following a severe localized windstorm that impacted the regional power grid, including the main 230kV transmission line servicing the southwest region of the Carajás Mineral Province. Power was restored after approximately 10 days, allowing the Company to safely resume ramp-up activities on October 16, 2024.(1)
  • To address ongoing intermittent voltage oscillations, the Company implemented a mill power management solution that enables continuous plant operations despite minor voltage fluctuations. Since this implementation, the plant has maintained continuous operations and is advancing toward full capacity.

(1) For further details on the power disruption and resumption of ramp-up activities, please refer the Company's press releases dated October 5, 2024 and October 16, 2024.

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The Xavantina Operations

  • Quarterly gold production at the Xavantina Operations totaled 13,485 ounces with tonnes processed up 3.3% quarter-on-quarter, partially offsetting a planned decrease in mined and processed gold grades.
  • Unit operating costs were in line with expectations for the quarter, averaging $539 per ounce for C1 cash costs and $1,034 per ounce for AISC.
  • The Xavantina Operations are expected to deliver similar production levels and unit cost performance in Q4 2024 compared to Q3 2024.

OTHER SUBSEQUENT EVENTS

The Company continued to advance its growth pipeline with the announcement of an initial National Instrument 43-101 compliant mineral resource estimate for Furnas Copper-Gold Project (the "Project") on October 2, 2024. This initial mineral resource estimate, supported by over 90,000 meters of historic drilling, highlights the significant potential of this Project.

In October 2024, the Company also commenced the Phase 1 drill program under the definitive earn-in agreement(1) for the Project, after receiving drilling permits from the Pará State environmental agency in September 2024. This minimum 28,000-meter program, designed to support a preliminary economic assessment on the Project, is focused on infill drilling and extending high-grade zones within the broader deposit to depth. For more information on the Project's initial mineral resource estimate and the Phase 1 drill program, please refer to the Company's press release dated October 2, 2024.

(1) In July 2024, the Company signed a definitive earn-in agreement ("Agreement") with Salobo Metais S.A., a subsidiary of Vale Base Metals Limited, to earn a 60% interest in the Project, located in the Carajás Mineral Province in Pará State, Brazil. The terms of the Agreement align with the previously signed binding term sheet outlined in the Company's press release dated October 30, 2023.

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OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS

2024 - Q3 2024 - Q2 2023 - Q3 2024 - YTD 2023 - YTD
Copper (Caraíba Operations)
Ore Processed (tonnes) 900,289 957,692 806,096 2,711,352 2,419,465
Grade (% Cu) 1.20 1.03 1.46 1.10 1.45
Cu Production (tonnes) 9,920 8,867 10,766 26,878 32,097
Cu Production (000 lbs) 21,871 19,548 23,734 59,257 70,761
Cu Sold in Concentrate (tonnes) 9,970 8,706 10,090 28,137 31,166
Cu Sold in Concentrate (000 lbs) 21,980 19,192 22,244 62,031 68,709
Cu C1 cash cost(1)(2) $ 1.63 $ 2.16 $ 1.92 $ 2.01 $ 1.83
Copper (Tucumã Operation)
Ore Processed (tonnes)110,778——110,778—
Grade (% Cu)1.00——1.00—
Cu Production (tonnes)839——839—
Cu Production (000 lbs)1,850——1,850—
Cu Sold in Concentrate (tonnes)357——357—
Cu Sold in Concentrate (000 lbs)787——787—
Gold (Xavantina Operations)
Ore Processed (tonnes) 41,761 40,446 31,446 120,041 101,586
Grade (g / tonne) 11.41 14.00 18.72 13.85 14.43
Au Production (oz) 13,485 16,555 17,579 48,274 42,355
Au C1 cash cost(1) $ 539 $ 428 $ 371 $ 447 $ 425
Au AISC(1) $ 1,034 $ 842 $ 844 $ 879 $ 943

(1) EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income (loss) attributable to owners of the Company, adjusted net income (loss) per share attributable to owners of the Company, net (cash) debt, working capital, copper C1 cash cost, copper C1 cash cost including foreign exchange hedges, gold C1 cash cost and gold AISC are non- IFRS measures. These measures do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and might not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. Please refer to the Company’s discussion of Non-IFRS measures in its Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 and the Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures section at the end of this press release.

(2) Copper C1 cash cost including foreign exchange hedges was $1.72 in Q3 2024 (Q3 2023 - $1.77) and $2.04 in YTD 2024 (YTD 2024 - $1.73).

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FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

($ in millions, except per share amounts)

2024 - Q32024 - Q22023 - Q32024 - YTD2023 - YTD
Revenues$ 124.8$ 117.1$ 105.2$ 347.7$ 311.1
Gross profit53.743.335.5128.2115.0
EBITDA(1)74.5(36.2)28.356.1135.0
Adjusted EBITDA(1)62.251.542.9157.0133.2
Cash flow from operations52.714.741.984.6113.7
Net income (loss)41.4(53.4)2.8(18.9)57.3
Net income (loss) attributable to owners of the40.9(53.2)2.5(19.5)56.3
Per share (basic)0.40(0.52)0.03(0.19)0.61
Per share (diluted)0.39(0.52)0.03(0.19)0.60
Adjusted net income attributable to owners of the Company(1)27.618.617.363.062.0
Per share (basic)0.270.180.190.610.67
Per share (diluted)0.270.180.180.610.66
Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term20.244.887.620.287.6
Working (deficit) capital(1)(60.9)(57.6)32.8(60.9)32.8
Net debt(1)518.7482.0331.8518.7331.8

(1) EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income (loss) attributable to owners of the Company, adjusted net income (loss) per share attributable to owners of the Company, net (cash) debt, working capital, copper C1 cash cost, copper C1 cash cost including foreign exchange hedges, gold C1 cash cost and gold AISC are non- IFRS measures. These measures do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and might not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. Please refer to the Company’s discussion of Non-IFRS measures in its Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 and the Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures section at the end of this press release.

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2024 GUIDANCE(*)

The Company is updating production guidance for both the Caraíba and Tucumã Operations, resulting in a consolidated copper production guidance for the year of 43,000 to 48,000 tonnes in concentrate.

Due to the anticipated delay in achieving commercial production at the Tucumã Operation, the Company is narrowing 2024 C1 cash cost guidance to only include the Caraíba Operations. The Company is reaffirming full-year C1 cash cost guidance for the Caraíba Operations of $1.80 to $2.00 per pound of copper produced. Positive factors, including improved concentrate treatment and refining charges secured as of May 2024, a higher gold byproduct credit, and a more favorable USD to BRL exchange rate, are expected to more than offset the impact of lower projected copper production.

At the Xavantina Operations, the Company is reaffirming increased full-year gold production guidance of 60,000 to 65,000 ounces, with similar production levels and unit cost performance expected in Q4 2024 compared to Q3 2024. Consequently, the Company is reaffirming its reduced gold cost guidance ranges, including C1 cash cost guidance of $450 to $550 per ounce, and AISC guidance of $900 to $1,000 per ounce.

The Company is also maintaining consolidated 2024 capital expenditure guidance of $303 to $348 million.

The Company's cost guidance for 2024 assumes a foreign exchange rate of 5.00 BRL per USD, a gold price of $1,900 per ounce and a silver price of $23.00 per ounce for Q4 2024.

Original Guidance Updated Guidance Consolidated Copper Production (tonnes)

Caraíba Operations 42,000 - 47,000 35,000 - 37,000 Tucumã Operation 17,000 - 25,000 8,000 - 11,000 Total 59,000 - 72,000 43,000 - 48,000

Caraíba Operations C1 Cash Cost(1) Guidance $1.80 - $2.00 Unchanged

The Xavantina Operations

Au Production (ounces) 55,000 - 60,000 60,000 - 65,000 Gold C1 Cash Cost(1) Guidance $550 - $650 $450 - $550 Gold AISC(1) Guidance $1,050 - $1,150 $900 - $1,000

  • Guidance is based on certain estimates and assumptions, including but not limited to, mineral reserve estimates, grade and continuity of interpreted geological formations and metallurgical performance. Please refer to the Company’s most recent Annual Information Form and Management of Risks and Uncertainties in the MD&A for complete risk factors.

(1) Please refer to the section titled "Alternative Performance (Non-IFRS) Measures" within the MD&A.

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CONFERENCE CALL DETAILS

The Company will hold a conference call on Wednesday, November  6, 2024 at 11:30 am Eastern time (8:30 am Pacific time) to discuss these results.

Date: Wednesday, November 6, 2024 Time: 11:30 am Eastern time (8:30 am Pacific time)

Canada/USA Toll Free: 1-844-763-8274, International: +1-647-484-8814 Dial in:

Please dial in 5-10 minutes prior to the start of the call or pre-register using this link to bypass the live operator queue Webcast: To access the webcast, click here Replay: Canada/USA: 1-855-669-9658, International: +1-412-317-0088 For country-specific dial-in numbers, click here Replay Passcode: 1437453

Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures

Financial results of the Company are presented in accordance with IFRS. The Company utilizes certain alternative performance (non-IFRS) measures to monitor its performance, including copper C1 cash cost, copper C1 cash cost including foreign exchange hedges, gold C1 cash cost, gold AISC, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income attributable to owners of the Company, adjusted net income per share, net (cash) debt, working capital and available liquidity. These performance measures have no standardized meaning prescribed within generally accepted accounting principles under IFRS and, therefore, amounts presented may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other mining companies. These non-IFRS measures are intended to provide supplemental information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.

For additional details please refer to the Company’s discussion of non-IFRS and other performance measures in its Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 which is available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca, and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov.

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Copper C1 cash cost and copper C1 cash cost including foreign exchange hedges

The following table provides a reconciliation of copper C1 cash cost to cost of production, its most directly comparable IFRS measure.

Reconciliation: 2024 - Q3 2024 - Q2 2023 - Q3 2024 - YTD 2023 - YTD
Cost of production $ 40,149 $ 41,945 $ 39,345 $ 124,321 $ 113,397
Add (less):
Transportation costs & other1,283 1,283 1,614 3,818 4,686
Treatment, refining, and other3,170 4,058 6,574 12,398 20,991
By-product credits(6,584) (3,431) (3,022) (12,455) (9,536)
Incentive payments(1,138) (1,174) (1,609) (3,511) (3,975)
Net change in inventory(1,220) (468) 2,835 (5,581) 2,973
Foreign exchange translation and other3 21 (171) 17 (169)
C1 cash costs35,66342,23445,566119,007128,367
(Gain) loss on foreign exchange hedges1,96546(3,458)1,735(7,232)
C1 cash costs including foreign exchange hedges$ 37,628 $ 42,280 $ 42,108 $ 120,742 $ 121,135
Mining $ 26,529 $ 27,881 $ 27,258 $ 79,666 $ 76,262
Processing 7,069 7,927 8,362 22,173 22,559
Indirect 5,479 5,799 6,394 17,225 18,091
Production costs 39,077 41,607 42,014 119,064 116,912
By-product credits(6,584) (3,431) (3,022) (12,455) (9,536)
Treatment, refining and other3,170 4,058 6,574 12,398 20,991
C1 cash costs35,66342,23445,566119,007128,367
(Gain) loss on foreign exchange hedges1,96546(3,458)1,735(7,232)
C1 cash costs including foreign exchange hedges$ 37,628$ 42,280$ 42,108$ 120,742$ 121,135
Costs per pound
Total copper produced (lbs, 000)21,871 19,548 23,734 59,257 70,761
Mining $ 1.22 $ 1.42 $ 1.15 $ 1.34 $ 1.08
Processing $ 0.32 $ 0.41 $ 0.35 $ 0.38 $ 0.32
Indirect $ 0.25 $ 0.30 $ 0.27 $ 0.29 $ 0.26
By-product credits $ (0.30) $ (0.18) $ (0.13) $ (0.21) $ (0.13)
Treatment, refining and other $ 0.14 $ 0.21 $ 0.28 $ 0.21 $ 0.30
Copper C1 cash costs$ 1.63 $ 2.16 $ 1.92 $ 2.01 $ 1.83
(Gain) loss on foreign exchange hedges$ 0.09 $ — $ (0.15) $ 0.03 $ (0.10)
Copper C1 cash costs including foreign exchange hedges$ 1.72 $ 2.16 $ 1.77 $ 2.04 $ 1.73

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Gold C1 cash cost and gold AISC

The following table provides a reconciliation of gold C1 cash cost and gold AISC to cost of production, its most directly comparable IFRS measure.

Reconciliation: 2024 - Q3 2024 - Q2 2023 - Q32024 - YTD 2023 - YTD
Cost of production $ 6,220 $ 7,580 $ 6,323$ 21,055 $ 18,087
Add (less):
Incentive payments (378) (226) (320)(1,047) (1,038)
Net change in inventory 1,378 (322) 2131,320 797
By-product credits (232) (259) (240)(680) (579)
Smelting and refining 79 97 101266 240
Foreign exchange translation and other 203 215 453650 510
C1 cash costs $ 7,270 $ 7,085 $ 6,530$ 21,564 $ 18,017
Site general and administrative 1,321 1,350 1,3044,024 3,874
Accretion of mine closure and rehabilitation provision 82 88 112262 328
Sustaining capital expenditure 2,784 2,653 4,2588,691 10,801
Sustaining lease payments 1,801 1,908 1,8325,831 5,232
Royalties and production taxes 686 862 8082,058 1,702
AISC$ 13,944 $ 13,946 $ 14,844$ 42,430 $ 39,954

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Costs
Mining $ 3,852 $ 3,705 $ 3,140 $ 11,377 $ 8,724
Processing 2,419 2,277 2,165 6,955 6,118
Indirect 1,152 1,265 1,364 3,646 3,514
Production costs 7,423 7,247 6,669 21,978 18,356
Smelting and refining costs 79 97 101 266 240
By-product credits (232) (259) (240) (680) (579)
C1 cash costs $ 7,270 $ 7,085 $ 6,530 $ 21,564 $ 18,017
Site general and administrative 1,321 1,350 1,304 4,024 3,874
Accretion of mine closure and rehabilitation provision 82 88 112 262 328
Sustaining capital expenditure 2,784 2,653 4,258 8,691 10,801
Sustaining leases 1,801 1,908 1,832 5,831 5,232
Royalties and production taxes 686 862 808 2,058 1,702
AISC $ 13,944 $ 13,946 $ 14,844 $ 42,430 $ 39,954
Costs per ounce
Total gold produced (ounces) 13,485 16,555 17,579 48,274 42,355
Mining $ 286 $ 224 $ 179 $ 236 $ 206
Processing $ 179 $ 138 $ 123 $ 144 $ 144
Indirect $ 85 $ 76 $ 78 $ 76 $ 83
Smelting and refining $ 6 $ 6 $ 6 $ 6 $ 6
By-product credits $ (17) $ (16) $ (15) $ (15) $ (14)
Gold C1 cash cost $ 539 $ 428 $ 371 $ 447 $ 425
Gold AISC$ 1,034 $ 842 $ 844 $ 879 $ 943

Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) and Adjusted EBITDA

The following table provides a reconciliation of EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA to net income, its most directly comparable IFRS measure.

Reconciliation: 2024 - Q3 2024 - Q2 2023 - Q3 2024 - YTD 2023 - YTD
Net Income (Loss) $ 41,367 $ (53,399) $ 2,811 $ (18,862) $ 57,252
Adjustments:
Finance expense 4,039 4,565 8,017 13,238 20,538
Finance income (781) (1,361) (2,976) (3,610) (10,476)
Income tax expense (recovery) 8,331 (8,267) (807) (1,789) 9,632
Amortization and depreciation 21,555 22,294 21,299 67,145 58,044
EBITDA $ 74,511 $ (36,168) $ 28,344 $ 56,122 $ 134,990
Foreign exchange (gain) loss (17,246) 70,454 13,937 72,204 (9,741)
Share based compensation 4,859 6,075 (1,185) 17,479 8,741
Write-down of exploration and evaluation asset467 10,745 — 11,212 —
Unrealized (gain) loss on commodity derivatives(360)4361,81412 (840)
Adjusted EBITDA$ 62,231 $ 51,542 $ 42,910 $ 157,029 $ 133,150

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Adjusted net income attributable to owners of the Company and Adjusted net income per share attributable to owners of the Company

The following table provides a reconciliation of Adjusted net income attributable to owners of the Company and Adjusted EPS to net income attributable to the owners of the Company, its most directly comparable IFRS measure.

Reconciliation: 2024 - Q3 2024 - Q2 2023 - Q3 2024 - YTD 2023 - YTD
Net income (loss) as reported attributable to the owners of the Company $ 40,857 $ (53,247) $ 2,525 $ (19,531) $ 56,255
Adjustments:
Share based compensation 4,859 6,075 (1,185) 17,479 8,741
Unrealized foreign exchange (gain) loss on USD denominated balances in MCSA (11,860) 48,517 9,481 47,914 (4,988)
Unrealized foreign exchange (gain) loss on foreign exchange derivative contracts (9,807) 16,006 7,530 15,503 2,300
Write-down of exploration and evaluation asset465 10,745 — 11,210 —
Unrealized (gain) loss on commodity derivatives(367) 434 1,808 3 (836)
Tax effect on the above adjustments 3,431 (9,904) (2,873) (9,601) 540
Adjusted net income attributable to owners of the Company $ 27,578 $ 18,626 $ 17,286 $ 62,977 $ 62,012
Weighted average number of common shares
Basic 103,239,881 103,082,363 93,311,434 103,026,138 92,767,525
Diluted 103,973,827 103,961,615 94,009,268 103,742,304 93,643,940
Adjusted EPS
Basic $ 0.27 $ 0.18 $ 0.19 $ 0.61 $ 0.67
Diluted $ 0.27 $ 0.18 $ 0.18 $ 0.61 $ 0.66

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